NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	106		Excitement	8.4 [205]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +25.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Comeback	4.2 [128]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -39.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.09	-0.00	25	64%	0.31	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.02	12	65%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	4	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	45%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	10	35%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	5	75%	0.05	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Meyers Leonard	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	18	47%	-0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	63%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	12	69%	0.19	3	-0.13	11	73%	-0.03
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	56%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	9	61%	0.07	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	10	50%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	3	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.39	-0.39	-0.09	-0.31	-0.01	17	39%	-0.17	3	-0.22	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	29.1	14.6	25.6	2.7	47.1	149.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.2%

MIN -12.1%

POR +7.9%

POR +11.1%

POR +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	13.7	14.9	103.9	100.0	105.1
season	15.0	14.8		107.1	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.6		108.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	14.0	15.2	14.2	14.7
MIN	12.4	18.0	14.8	10.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	75	75	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.25	17	-12	29	14.4	15.4	-0.93	14.5	11.3	3.25
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	66	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-6	17	14.2	15.6	-1.39	15.1	11.1	3.97
Mason Plumlee	59	57	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-4	13	14.1	15.5	-1.39	14.3	12.8	1.49
Damian Lillard	81	80	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	14.3	16.0	-1.65	13.5	14.5	-1.06
Noah Vonleh	42	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	-3	11	14.6	14.7	-0.15	13.3	14.0	-0.72
Allen Crabbe	58	57	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.25	-6	11	-17	15.0	14.2	0.77	11.9	16.0	-4.15
Meyers Leonard	48	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	8	-11	15.0	14.4	0.63	15.0	12.5	2.54
Ed Davis	43	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	9	-13	15.5	14.1	1.39	12.8	14.3	-1.49
Maurice Harkless	38	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.00	-8	13	-21	15.9	14.0	1.97	11.5	14.9	-3.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	46	45	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-5	5	12.8	14.5	-1.69	15.2	14.3	0.92
Nemanja Bjelica	68	68	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-10	15	13.4	14.2	-0.79	14.4	15.3	-0.91
Tayshaun Prince	39	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-7	9	15.6	12.5	3.06	15.2	14.3	0.88
Shabazz Muhammad	37	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	0	-5	13.1	14.0	-0.95	15.7	14.1	1.64
Zach LaVine	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	3	-11	13.6	13.7	-0.10	15.6	14.2	1.36
Ricky Rubio	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.41	3	-8	11	13.8	13.4	0.48	14.2	15.6	-1.36
Kevin Martin	77	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-4	3	12.8	16.5	-3.64	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Andrew Wiggins	49	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	1	-7	14.0	13.4	0.62	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Kevin Garnett	33	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	5	-15	14.2	13.4	0.79	15.3	14.4	0.91
Karl-Anthony Towns	56	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.3	12.9	1.35	14.3	15.2	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.39,0.16,0.1,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 105, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.07,0,0.01,0	92.3%
CHH 98, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0	92.2%
DET 110, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.04,0.09,0.29,0	91.9%