inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 103 Excitement5.8 [613] MVPVoshon Lenard (MIA): +22.4%
Washington Bullets 92 Comeback1.2 [539] LVPChris Webber (WAS): -39.9%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.220.210.040.031195%0.2200.0000%0.00
Keith Askins0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.09-0.000.03683%0.0500.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00579%0.081-0.03475%-0.00
John Crotty0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.00550%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Willie Anderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.011346%0.023-0.09250%-0.01
Alonzo Mourning-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.06-0.012453%-0.043-0.061675%-0.04
Tim Hardaway-0.240,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.01-0.011824%-0.154-0.09250%-0.02

Washington Bullets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.110.010.021875%0.184-0.07887%0.02
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.000.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.040.011666%0.081-0.033100%0.02
Harvey Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.02850%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Gheorghe Muresan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01425%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Lorenzo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.01250%-0.003-0.0700%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.021443%0.014-0.1000%0.00
Chris Webber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4-0.40-0.27-0.130.001314%-0.245-0.1620%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.726.015.626.21.727.2123.4
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +12.5%
MIA +6.7%
MIA +7.9%
MIA +21.0%
MIA +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game15.214.415.6102.097.9104.4
season15.814.8103.1104.3
opponent15.816.3103.398.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.314.115.518.215.2
WAS14.414.215.813.114.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning88820.54-0.040.580.1015-41914.519.4-4.8514.513.50.98
Keith Askins84790.490.010.490.0515-41914.219.9-5.7513.817.0-3.15
Voshon Lenard92840.470.030.450.2192715.314.01.2714.116.5-2.40
Tim Hardaway83760.420.080.340.1883515.115.6-0.4814.115.6-1.49
P.J. Brown77730.290.210.080.2038-515.215.00.2614.115.2-1.14
Ike Austin42370.170.33-0.160.1129-716.913.92.9114.814.10.67
Willie Anderson17170.070.43-0.360.0129-717.514.72.7816.513.92.66
John Crotty22220.040.46-0.420.01110-916.014.91.0216.113.82.33

Washington Bullets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Whitney23230.02-0.520.55-0.094-151914.714.20.5118.314.24.13
Gheorghe Muresan3336-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-111115.713.62.0713.915.9-2.02
Harvey Grant1416-0.13-0.370.230.07-7-4-313.914.4-0.5813.415.5-2.04
Lorenzo Williams4243-0.14-0.360.21-0.09-2-9713.614.9-1.3216.514.22.28
Calbert Cheaney6974-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.18-5-6114.214.8-0.6114.816.1-1.35
Tracy Murray4750-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.07-121-1313.615.1-1.4316.014.41.63
Juwan Howard8895-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.19-9-2-714.118.7-4.6115.214.30.88
Chris Webber7582-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.20-10-1-915.011.93.0114.816.8-2.01
Rod Strickland7986-0.540.04-0.58-0.13-143-1714.513.70.7414.718.1-3.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.07,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 101, CHI 970.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.03,0,095.0%
PHI 98, SEA 900.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.04,094.3%
TOR 94, UTA 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.01,0,0,094.3%