NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	6.6 [473]		MVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): +7.8%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.4 [493]		LVP	Sam Cassell (DAL): -14.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	17	58%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,-0.06,0,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	67%	0.17	4	-0.16	11	91%	0.10
Rumeal Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Wayman Tisdale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.12,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	18	55%	0.06	4	-0.09	11	73%	-0.01
Loren Meyer	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.04	-0.04	9	30%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	17	51%	-0.01	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.03
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	0.03	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	15	56%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.07
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	13	61%	-0.09	5	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	23.9	15.0	26.1	1.7	43.0	135.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.0%

PHX +21.5%

PHX +8.7%

DAL -16.8%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.6	15.6	104.0	97.0	104.4
season	14.6	15.9		106.8	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.5	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.4	12.9	14.0	15.8	14.0
DAL	16.0	13.8	14.3	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Johnson	80	80	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.24	14	-7	21	14.2	13.2	0.97	14.8	13.5	1.30
Cedric Ceballos	80	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-1	9	14.0	13.9	0.13	14.7	14.0	0.77
Hot Rod Williams	83	80	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	1	5	14.2	12.8	1.37	13.8	17.2	-3.39
Danny Manning	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	4	-1	14.5	13.2	1.36	14.7	14.4	0.26
Wesley Person	83	84	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	7	-7	14.0	13.6	0.49	14.1	16.9	-2.80
Loren Meyer	43	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	0	7	12.7	14.9	-2.12	15.0	14.2	0.80
Ben Davis	23	22	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	1	5	12.4	14.4	-1.98	13.8	14.8	-0.94
Rumeal Robinson	5	5	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	6	-5	19.2	13.7	5.51	22.2	14.2	8.04
Wayman Tisdale	28	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	13.9	14.0	-0.09	15.6	14.1	1.57
Steve Nash	21	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	14	-21	13.2	14.2	-0.97	13.5	14.8	-1.30

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Harper	46	47	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-12	17	15.3	13.9	1.38	14.4	13.6	0.79
Oliver Miller	49	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	15.4	13.7	1.66	16.0	12.2	3.78
George McCloud	42	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-16	25	13.1	15.6	-2.50	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Eric Montross	31	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-4	1	13.8	14.9	-1.13	13.3	14.3	-1.01
Michael Finley	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.34	2	-9	11	14.3	14.8	-0.50	14.3	13.6	0.73
Sam Cassell	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-5	3	14.0	15.5	-1.52	13.8	14.2	-0.44
A.C. Green	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	3	-13	15.5	13.5	2.01	13.6	14.3	-0.75
Jamal Mashburn	44	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	14	-35	15.3	14.0	1.27	12.8	14.8	-2.08
Chris Gatling	61	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-5	3	13.9	15.5	-1.65	13.6	14.6	-1.08
Jim Jackson	63	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	6	-19	14.8	14.2	0.64	14.0	13.8	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.43,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 84, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.16,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.34,0.08,0	92.2%
CHA 113, MIA 112	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.18,0.1,0.28,0.15,0.09,0	92.0%
WAS 115, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	91.8%