NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	115		Excitement	5.1 [800]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +28.7%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.0 [628]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): -10.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.14	0.00	25	70%	0.39	7	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.02	17	74%	0.23	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sheldon McClellan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ochefu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	23	62%	0.21	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	18	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.06	-0.04	6	75%	0.12	7	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	82%	0.06	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	18	34%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.4	3.5	29.3	16.8	31.1	3.4	28.6	145.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +26.0%

WAS +6.7%

WAS +2.0%

WAS +13.6%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.2	14.8	119.8	102.1	107.7
season	14.4	14.4		109.9	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.9		104.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	13.6	15.5	20.3	15.7
ATL	14.5	15.7	13.3	13.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	67	70	0.77	-0.27	1.05	-0.17	32	-16	48	15.0	17.3	-2.32	14.9	12.4	2.53
Otto Porter Jr.	53	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.09	24	-8	32	15.5	15.9	-0.45	15.6	12.4	3.15
John Wall	89	89	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.02	19	-3	22	15.7	15.3	0.40	14.4	11.5	2.94
Markieff Morris	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.02	20	-4	24	15.7	15.6	0.08	14.9	11.3	3.65
Marcin Gortat	36	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	9	-2	14.2	16.5	-2.29	15.5	13.3	2.19
Bojan Bogdanovic	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	8	0	17.6	13.6	4.00	12.9	15.5	-2.58
Jason Smith	25	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	15	-14	13.6	16.4	-2.78	12.4	14.8	-2.42
Tomas Satoransky	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	16	-16	10.5	15.8	-5.27	10.0	14.3	-4.28
Sheldon McClellan	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	17.0	15.6	1.36	20.0	14.1	5.86
Daniel Ochefu	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	17.0	15.6	1.36	20.0	14.1	5.86
Kelly Oubre Jr.	45	45	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	28	-40	16.0	15.4	0.65	12.4	15.7	-3.27
Brandon Jennings	34	33	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.19	-19	35	-54	17.3	14.8	2.49	12.3	15.2	-2.87

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-15	14	16.9	13.8	3.10	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Ersan Ilyasova	12	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-12	8	12.4	14.4	-2.03	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Mike Dunleavy	3	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-12	8	16.3	14.1	2.21	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.	81	82	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-12	8	13.5	17.5	-3.96	15.8	14.8	1.02
Jose Calderon	32	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-11	6	14.7	13.9	0.83	15.9	15.6	0.34
Kent Bazemore	61	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-10	4	12.1	17.8	-5.70	16.4	14.3	2.16
Taurean Prince	65	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-3	-10	15.0	12.6	2.34	15.9	15.2	0.73
Dwight Howard	47	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	-2	-12	16.0	12.5	3.46	13.8	17.4	-3.64
Paul Millsap	93	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-4	-8	14.1	17.2	-3.19	15.7	15.0	0.68
Dennis Schroder	79	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	1	-18	14.5	12.8	1.67	15.8	14.9	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.4%
BOS 101, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
IND 96, GSW 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0	94.3%