NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	96		Excitement	4.2 [981]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +13.9%
Golden State Warriors	88		Comeback	1.1 [488]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -12.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.00	0.03	11	81%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0.04	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	6	79%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	17	42%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	9	43%	-0.00	3	-0.04	10	60%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	17	31%	-0.07	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	14	63%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	12	43%	-0.04	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	19	41%	-0.07	4	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	26.6	16.5	27.2	2.6	41.3	142.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +35.2%

GSW -1.4%

IND +7.7%

IND +4.5%

IND +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.7	99.0	92.6	100.5
season	16.7	16.1		101.1	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.6	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	13.4	15.4	17.8	14.9
GSW	17.5	14.8	14.0	14.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	66	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-6	20	15.3	14.0	1.34	15.8	13.6	2.27
Metta World Peace	55	56	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-7	22	14.7	15.1	-0.43	15.5	14.6	0.87
Reggie Miller	66	66	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-9	26	14.0	16.8	-2.88	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Jamaal Tinsley	62	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-1	10	14.9	14.9	-0.06	14.6	16.1	-1.59
Al Harrington	73	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	11	-14	15.4	13.2	2.22	14.5	17.0	-2.45
Jeff Foster	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	6	-4	15.2	14.6	0.68	15.7	14.7	0.96
Anthony Johnson	35	34	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	9	-10	14.9	14.9	0.06	16.1	14.6	1.59
Jonathan Bender	39	37	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	9	-10	15.2	14.6	0.59	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Fred Jones	28	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	13	-18	14.1	15.2	-1.13	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Scot Pollard	17	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	15	-22	14.6	14.9	-0.35	16.3	14.9	1.43

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	41	43	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.42	21	-29	50	13.2	16.6	-3.31	15.1	14.7	0.35
Adonal Foyle	24	25	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.38	19	-27	46	14.3	15.4	-1.12	17.6	13.9	3.72
Rusty LaRue	13	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-5	2	16.0	15.0	1.01	13.6	15.1	-1.46
Avery Johnson	17	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.22	-14	6	-20	17.6	14.6	3.07	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Erick Dampier	43	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.27	-21	13	-34	16.0	14.4	1.68	13.1	16.4	-3.31
Brian Cardinal	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	0	-8	14.8	15.7	-0.87	14.9	14.9	0.02
Clifford Robinson	69	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	16.5	11.6	4.89	15.4	13.5	1.83
Calbert Cheaney	38	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	1	-10	14.1	15.8	-1.70	15.3	14.6	0.68
Mike Dunleavy	84	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	15.0	16.3	-1.30	14.8	15.3	-0.45
Jason Richardson	87	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.24	-10	2	-12	14.9	17.4	-2.46	14.9	14.9	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 132, LAL 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0	95.2%
BOS 101, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
HOU 102, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%