NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	12.9 [7]		MVP	Henry James (ATL): +52.1%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	11.9 [105]		LVP	Steven Smith (ATL): -40.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hot Rod Williams	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.3	-0.01	0.31	-0.01	10	55%	0.35	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.03
Wesley Person	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.01	16	54%	0.17	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Rex Chapman	0.15	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.00	21	67%	0.35	4	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	9	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Loren Meyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Dumas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.03	-0.20	0.00	12	50%	-0.13	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry James	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.52	0.52	0.02	0.52	0.02	9	56%	0.56	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.02,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.03	0.34	0.00	20	49%	0.37	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.27	0.27	-0.02	0.27	-0.02	22	57%	0.40	4	-0.13	9	67%	-0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.04,-0.11,-0.05,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	9	85%	0.40	5	-0.22	8	100%	0.12
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.14	-0.25	0.01	17	41%	-0.33	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	27.4	15.4	24.7	2.0	37.2	1.7	19.1	155.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.0%

ATL +16.8%

ATL +7.2%

PHX -8.4%

PHX -9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.6	101.0	101.9	104.4
season	14.6	16.4		106.8	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.6		100.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.5	15.0	15.8	16.2	19.1	15.4
ATL	14.2	14.4	18.5	16.5	14.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hot Rod Williams	78	78	0.71	-1.21	1.92	0.21	17	-19	36	15.3	15.6	-0.32	16.1	14.2	1.94
Kevin Johnson	79	81	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-4	6	14.5	18.3	-3.72	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Wayman Tisdale	41	43	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.16	-5	3	-8	16.1	14.9	1.16	16.7	14.8	1.87
Loren Meyer	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	0	-2	21.0	15.3	5.67	0.0	15.6	-15.63
Joe Kleine	20	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-6	10	15.2	15.4	-0.23	17.5	15.3	2.20
Rex Chapman	79	83	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-8	14	15.2	15.9	-0.63	15.9	14.7	1.16
Danny Manning	80	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.44	8	-10	18	15.1	16.4	-1.25	16.0	14.3	1.69
Steve Nash	19	19	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	13	-28	18.3	14.7	3.60	14.1	16.0	-1.94
Mark Bryant	27	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	13	-28	16.6	14.9	1.70	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Wesley Person	66	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.65	0	-2	2	14.6	16.8	-2.16	14.5	17.5	-2.96
Tony Dumas	11	10	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.68	-8	6	-14	15.5	15.4	0.18	14.5	15.8	-1.25

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry James	53	54	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.79	4	-2	6	15.9	15.3	0.60	15.9	14.7	1.19
Eldridge Recasner	29	26	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-8	18	15.4	15.7	-0.25	15.0	15.5	-0.56
Christian Laettner	97	95	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	15.7	14.2	1.55	15.1	19.1	-4.04
Mookie Blaylock	85	84	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	4	-6	14.9	19.3	-4.42	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Tyrone Corbin	49	47	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	3	-4	14.7	16.5	-1.75	14.9	15.8	-0.99
Ivano Newbill	12	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	2	-2	18.2	15.3	2.87	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Dikembe Mutombo	96	96	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.19	-1	3	-4	15.8	13.3	2.52	15.8	8.2	7.67
Steven Smith	85	86	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.25	-5	7	-12	16.3	12.4	3.86	15.0	17.3	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.22,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 120, SAS 124	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.55,0.68,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.57,1	89.7%
MIA 111, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	89.7%
LAC 112, POR 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.76,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.58,1	88.5%