NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	12.5 [21]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +32.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	13.0 [125]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -17.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.21,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.32	0.12	0.21	0.00	29	58%	0.35	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.02	27	59%	0.24	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	21	48%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	6	14%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28	0.28	0.04	0.23	-0.00	11	70%	0.45	5	-0.18	5	100%	0.07
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.18,0.07,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.20	0.02	31	50%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	60%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	63%	0.15	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	8	55%	0.08	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	48%	0.10	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	2.8	32.3	18.8	31.0	2.8	36.1	1.8	19.6	168.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +3.7%

POR +62.4%

POR +33.1%

LAC -49.2%

LAC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	13.8	16.1	15.1	104.7	109.4	105.2
season	14.3	15.1		111.0	109.6
opponent	14.8	15.4		106.5	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.4	14.1	12.0	13.9	13.8	13.8
POR	16.6	15.3	15.3	18.8	13.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	81	81	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.09	9	-13	22	14.0	12.9	1.16	16.4	15.1	1.34
Darren Collison	46	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-2	0	13.4	14.1	-0.70	17.1	15.3	1.75
Chris Paul	90	91	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.44	10	-14	24	13.6	14.8	-1.19	16.0	16.7	-0.73
Blake Griffin	84	86	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.43	6	-10	16	13.3	15.3	-1.96	16.1	16.0	0.13
Ryan Hollins	19	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	8	-20	14.1	13.7	0.35	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Antawn Jamison	19	18	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	6	-16	16.2	13.2	2.97	17.3	15.9	1.41
Willie Green	16	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	5	-14	14.0	13.7	0.27	18.9	15.6	3.22
Jamal Crawford	90	88	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	13.9	12.9	0.98	15.2	20.3	-5.09
Jared Dudley	43	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	13.7	13.8	-0.15	14.9	16.8	-1.97
Matt Barnes	47	47	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.51	-11	7	-18	13.4	14.1	-0.68	16.2	16.0	0.16

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	45	46	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.43	13	-9	22	17.3	15.2	2.10	14.1	13.5	0.60
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	80	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-6	16	16.6	14.7	1.84	14.3	12.1	2.16
Damian Lillard	85	86	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-1	6	15.6	18.3	-2.72	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Dorell Wright	27	29	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-9	22	19.3	15.0	4.23	13.3	13.9	-0.63
Nicolas Batum	84	84	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.29	-5	9	-14	15.7	17.7	-1.99	13.8	13.6	0.26
Wesley Matthews	80	80	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.35	-9	13	-22	14.9	19.7	-4.75	13.7	14.0	-0.26
Robin Lopez	82	81	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	2	0	15.8	17.1	-1.27	14.0	13.2	0.76
Joel Freeland	21	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	18.9	15.4	3.43	14.7	13.5	1.15
Meyers Leonard	28	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	10	-16	14.7	16.6	-1.84	12.1	14.3	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.76,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 111, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	89.7%
GSW 81, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.64,0.47,0.58,1	89.6%
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,1	89.5%