NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	6.9 [422]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +17.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	82		Comeback	2.0 [359]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -27.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	21	61%	0.22	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.03	0.06	9	91%	0.16	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Byron Scott	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	5	90%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	73%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	12	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.19	-0.01	-0.07	15	16%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.04	-0.03	17	40%	0.03	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	11	41%	-0.08	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	9	11%	-0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.25	-0.06	-0.03	12	35%	-0.15	6	-0.13	10	40%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.7	27.0	16.8	27.3	3.3	29.5	134.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +61.0%

LAL +5.9%

VAN -22.2%

LAL +1.4%

LAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	VAN	NBA	LAL	VAN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.6	104.4	88.2	104.4
season	15.3	16.3		105.8	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	16.8	16.9	15.9	16.1
VAN	13.7	18.3	13.8	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	82	84	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-5	23	16.2	15.1	1.12	15.2	15.2	-0.03
Corie Blount	34	37	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.06	18	-5	23	14.9	16.8	-1.88	17.0	14.0	3.04
Eddie Jones	64	66	0.50	-0.01	0.51	0.12	13	0	13	15.7	17.1	-1.41	15.3	15.0	0.27
Kobe Bryant	54	54	0.43	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	1	11	16.2	16.0	0.25	15.8	14.4	1.39
Elden Campbell	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	2	9	16.1	16.2	-0.08	14.4	16.3	-1.85
Byron Scott	41	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.09	10	3	7	16.0	16.2	-0.13	15.5	15.0	0.52
Shaquille O'Neal	76	77	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	13	-13	16.5	14.1	2.46	15.0	16.2	-1.28
Travis Knight	8	8	-0.05	0.54	-0.60	-0.02	-1	14	-15	14.2	16.3	-2.05	14.2	15.3	-1.03
Derek Fisher	9	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	18	-23	15.1	16.2	-1.12	15.2	15.2	0.03
Jerome Kersey	32	33	-0.19	0.68	-0.87	0.14	-11	24	-35	17.7	15.3	2.42	13.7	16.0	-2.37

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.04	1	-14	15	14.6	15.4	-0.78	15.5	16.3	-0.86
Bryant Reeves	55	56	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-7	1	14.2	16.6	-2.34	15.9	16.4	-0.45
Lee Mayberry	59	58	-0.27	-0.22	-0.04	0.08	-12	-1	-11	14.0	17.3	-3.31	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Blue Edwards	44	42	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	16.9	13.7	3.21	16.2	16.1	0.13
Roy Rogers	38	35	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	16.6	14.2	2.34	16.4	15.9	0.45
Greg Anthony	45	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	17.0	13.5	3.54	16.4	15.9	0.56
George Lynch	50	50	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-5	-3	15.4	15.0	0.45	16.6	15.5	1.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.00	-12	-1	-11	14.2	18.2	-4.01	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Anthony Peeler	82	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	15.1	16.2	-1.12	16.4	13.8	2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.35,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.34,0.14,0.24,0.1,0.09,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, SAS 71	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%
DET 78, BOS 68	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%
OKC 101, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.08,0	92.6%