inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 94 Excitement8.4 [183] MVPKarl Malone (UTA): +26.4%
Miami Heat 87 Comeback65.7 [12] LVPTim Hardaway (MIA): -38.6%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl Malone0.260,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.260.030.21-0.022357%0.291-0.021573%-0.01
Antoine Carr0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.08-0.00573%0.131-0.02560%0.01
Adam Keefe0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.03362%0.043-0.05250%-0.01
Howard Eisley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Chris Morris-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00442%-0.0200.00475%0.01
Greg Foster-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff Hornacek-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04-0.050.00-0.001243%-0.021-0.02475%-0.03
Greg Ostertag-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.01250%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
John Stockton-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.080.00955%0.005-0.17475%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.180,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.05-0.01550%-0.016-0.186100%0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.07-0.00875%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Gary Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.001100%0.0400.002100%0.02
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.03850%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Sasha Danilovic0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.061244%0.014-0.071100%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01737%0.012-0.092100%0.01
Dan Majerle0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.19-0.19-0.13-0.07-0.01828%-0.093-0.09250%-0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.15-0.05-0.011435%-0.092-0.10956%-0.03
Tim Hardaway0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.38,-0.38,-0.39-0.39-0.12-0.29-0.032344%-0.263-0.13956%-0.23
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.12.528.316.725.72.032.01.617.0150.9
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +34.9%
UTA +17.8%
UTA +2.2%
MIA -4.4%
MIA -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMIANBAUTAMIANBA
this game14.816.115.692.283.7104.4
season15.615.8110.8103.1
opponent16.316.098.3102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
UTA15.514.016.114.213.514.8
MIA14.516.616.616.416.516.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Karl Malone82850.80-0.311.110.2120-133315.113.31.8016.912.24.78
Bryon Russell69710.78-0.291.070.4611-41514.615.3-0.7515.916.3-0.39
John Stockton84860.68-0.190.870.2116-92514.814.8-0.0516.713.23.51
Jeff Hornacek76790.66-0.170.830.4670714.615.4-0.7915.816.9-1.12
Antoine Carr37370.53-0.040.570.59-29-1114.115.2-1.0814.017.2-3.17
Greg Ostertag2929-0.020.51-0.54-0.289-21114.514.9-0.4418.315.23.16
Adam Keefe2426-0.060.56-0.62-0.03-18-914.714.8-0.1715.716.2-0.45
Shandon Anderson3333-0.180.68-0.86-0.15-18-914.115.1-1.0416.316.00.30
Howard Eisley1818-0.190.68-0.870.08-916-2514.814.80.0513.216.7-3.51
Greg Foster3029-0.190.69-0.880.10-1017-2716.014.31.7614.616.6-2.05
Chris Morris2827-0.340.83-1.17-0.19-512-1715.714.41.3216.415.90.51

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Austin43420.45-0.941.390.218-152316.515.80.7616.613.53.02
Gary Grant20200.20-0.690.890.171-8917.915.62.2714.714.8-0.05
Voshon Lenard38390.14-0.640.780.17-1-6516.715.71.0614.315.1-0.79
Kurt Thomas31290.10-0.600.700.16-2-5315.016.5-1.4712.715.6-2.99
Sasha Danilovic8886-0.22-0.280.06-0.19-1-6515.718.1-2.3614.615.7-1.06
Alonzo Mourning5858-0.620.13-0.75-0.48-5-2-316.715.31.4115.314.21.12
Tim Hardaway8886-0.700.21-0.91-0.41-103-1316.016.7-0.7314.615.7-1.13
Dan Majerle8179-0.840.35-1.19-0.58-92-1115.518.1-2.6514.715.2-0.49
P.J. Brown7371-0.980.48-1.46-0.51-169-2516.115.90.1915.014.20.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.72,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.54,0.24,0.11,0.06,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 106, POR 1010.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.26,089.8%
DAL 108, SAC 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.54,0.37,0.32,0.28,089.5%
SEA 109, LAL 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.52,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.94,1,0.54,0.25,0.16,0.02,0,089.5%