NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	107		Excitement	9.1 [115]		MVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): +14.9%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	3.2 [415]		LVP	Gheorghe Muresan (WAS): -27.6%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	8	78%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Harvey Grant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	6	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ashraf Amaya	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	19	47%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	9	39%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	15	53%	-0.12	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2	-0.01	-0.18	0.02	16	50%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.28	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	4	-0.25	4	50%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	15	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.03	10	76%	0.10	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.05
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	56%	0.15	1	-0.11	4	100%	0.07
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	2	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
A.C. Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	6	55%	0.01	3	-0.10	10	60%	-0.06
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	9	42%	-0.09	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	-0.00	14	52%	-0.02	5	-0.25	3	67%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	26.5	15.5	27.2	1.8	38.5	135.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.6%

PHX +22.9%

PHX +3.7%

WAS -21.7%

WAS -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	15.6	109.2	117.5	104.4
season	14.8	14.6		104.3	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.8		106.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	16.2	15.7	16.2	15.4
PHX	15.2	13.2	13.1	15.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	71	70	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.18	-2	-5	3	14.8	17.1	-2.35	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Calbert Cheaney	16	15	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-9	11	15.8	15.3	0.48	16.2	13.7	2.46
Gheorghe Muresan	57	56	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-12	17	16.2	14.4	1.79	16.0	11.6	4.40
Ashraf Amaya	1	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-5	3	24.0	15.3	8.68	10.0	14.2	-4.21
Tracy Murray	39	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-6	5	15.7	15.2	0.43	14.7	13.7	0.94
Chris Whitney	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	15.8	15.2	0.54	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Harvey Grant	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.25	-3	-4	1	15.5	15.3	0.19	13.4	14.9	-1.45
Jaren Jackson	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-6	5	15.5	15.3	0.16	14.1	14.2	-0.15
Juwan Howard	83	81	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	6	-19	14.9	18.3	-3.38	13.4	17.6	-4.19
Rod Strickland	88	86	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.30	-14	7	-21	15.4	15.3	0.12	13.6	18.1	-4.47

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Johnson	58	60	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.52	11	-4	15	13.6	14.8	-1.21	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Michael Finley	78	78	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.50	11	-4	15	13.7	16.0	-2.33	15.7	14.4	1.27
Rex Chapman	58	59	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-4	15	13.0	15.8	-2.75	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Danny Manning	65	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-1	9	13.3	15.7	-2.38	15.6	15.0	0.65
Hot Rod Williams	57	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	4	-1	15.2	12.6	2.51	15.6	15.2	0.35
Robert Horry	15	14	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	2	3	13.1	14.3	-1.25	15.1	15.5	-0.31
A.C. Green	31	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	8	-9	16.2	13.2	3.04	15.6	15.3	0.28
Wesley Person	39	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	11	-15	15.8	13.0	2.75	15.5	15.3	0.17
Mark Bryant	44	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	12	-17	14.0	14.3	-0.31	14.9	15.9	-1.02
Sam Cassell	40	40	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.21	-4	11	-15	14.5	13.9	0.64	15.8	15.1	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.36,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.55,0.74,1	91.8%
UTA 86, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	90.5%
ATL 88, BKN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.39,0.26,0.46,0.68,0.42,1	90.3%