NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	9.6 [96]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (BKN): +42.8%
Brooklyn Nets	90		Comeback	3.4 [257]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -30.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.21	-0.03	0.24	-0.00	9	40%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Al Horford	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.02,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	11	82%	0.28	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	10	71%	0.09	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02
Mike Scott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	11	52%	0.00	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3	-0.11	-0.20	-0.00	11	33%	-0.23	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.43	0.43	0.02	0.39	-0.01	13	57%	0.48	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	11	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	10	61%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.09
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.05,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.01	14	43%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.11	0.01	21	52%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.07
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.0	28.3	15.4	21.2	2.7	34.3	125.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +12.2%

BKN +18.4%

ATL -14.7%

BKN +26.9%

BKN +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	14.9	94.6	95.7	105.1
season	14.2	15.0		104.1	101.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		109.3	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	15.0	16.7	16.3	15.7
BKN	15.0	14.4	15.3	15.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tiago Splitter	24	25	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.00	7	-9	16	14.5	16.2	-1.70	16.5	14.6	1.95
Mike Scott	28	28	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.26	14	-16	30	12.7	17.0	-4.30	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Shelvin Mack	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-6	10	14.9	16.2	-1.33	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Justin Holiday	45	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	0	-2	15.5	15.9	-0.36	14.9	15.2	-0.34
Mike Muscala	29	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-3	4	14.4	16.3	-1.90	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Dennis Schroder	55	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	4	-10	16.5	14.6	1.97	15.4	14.6	0.81
Al Horford	64	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	1	-4	16.3	14.4	1.90	15.6	14.1	1.50
Kyle Korver	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-1	0	15.7	15.7	0.02	15.7	14.1	1.59
Thabo Sefolosha	58	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	6	-14	16.4	14.6	1.75	14.0	16.8	-2.83
Paul Millsap	66	66	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	14	-30	16.8	13.1	3.62	15.2	14.7	0.53

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	63	63	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.43	16	-14	30	14.8	15.6	-0.79	16.6	13.9	2.69
Joe Johnson	75	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.40	7	-5	12	15.4	13.7	1.76	15.8	15.4	0.45
Jarrett Jack	67	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	-3	8	15.0	15.3	-0.35	16.2	14.5	1.75
Brook Lopez	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	-1	4	15.5	14.1	1.37	16.1	14.6	1.53
Wayne Ellington	47	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.44	-5	7	-12	14.7	15.5	-0.85	15.5	15.9	-0.45
Thomas Robinson	27	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	3	-4	14.1	15.5	-1.37	14.6	16.1	-1.53
Shane Larkin	28	27	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	5	-8	14.8	15.2	-0.38	14.5	16.2	-1.75
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	44	45	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.14	5	-3	8	15.7	14.6	1.08	15.9	15.5	0.41
Bojan Bogdanovic	44	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	7	-12	15.3	14.9	0.40	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Andrea Bargnani	8	8	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	14	-26	13.7	15.2	-1.46	11.5	16.1	-4.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.54,0.39,0.26,0.46,0.68,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, PHX 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.46,0.47,0.29,0.36,0.55,0.73,1	90.3%
LAL 103, ORL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	89.4%
BKN 88, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.46,0.22,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.58,1	89.3%