NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	76		Excitement	7.2 [374]		MVP	Byron Scott (LAL): +18.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	79		Comeback	1.6 [755]		LVP	Antonio Davis (IND): -24.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.01	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Vincent Askew	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	59%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	10	43%	-0.01	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	15	39%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Dale Davis	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.17	-0.02	-0.00	8	22%	-0.09	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.04
Antonio Davis	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25	-0.16	-0.06	0.02	13	22%	-0.25	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.09

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	9	68%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	22	58%	0.16	1	-0.03	13	54%	-0.11
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	12	36%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.00	10	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	11	37%	-0.09	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	30.2	16.4	28.4	2.4	34.3	138.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +58.5%

IND -7.0%

IND -8.4%

LAL +7.8%

IND -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.9	15.6	85.4	89.8	104.4
season	15.3	15.3		103.6	105.8
opponent	15.7	16.3		101.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	15.4	15.2	16.3	15.6
LAL	13.8	16.6	19.1	18.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Allen	44	44	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.14	10	-13	23	14.3	16.9	-2.53	15.6	18.3	-2.73
Erick Dampier	37	37	-0.19	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	0	-3	16.2	15.2	1.07	14.8	18.5	-3.71
Reggie Miller	66	67	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	-0.38	5	-8	13	15.5	16.0	-0.46	16.8	17.4	-0.59
Antonio Davis	55	55	-0.25	-0.26	0.00	-0.22	-1	-2	1	14.9	16.8	-1.90	16.7	17.3	-0.59
Eddie Johnson	34	31	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	3	-9	15.2	15.9	-0.67	16.7	17.1	-0.34
Derrick McKey	47	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.19	-4	1	-5	16.4	14.8	1.58	18.6	15.2	3.46
Dale Davis	68	69	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.37	1	-4	5	15.9	14.7	1.18	17.6	14.4	3.20
Vincent Askew	49	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	1	-5	15.3	16.0	-0.69	16.6	17.3	-0.72
Travis Best	45	44	-0.64	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	10	-23	16.9	14.3	2.53	18.3	15.6	2.73

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	80	83	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-2	7	17.2	14.0	3.23	15.9	11.3	4.59
Byron Scott	49	48	0.49	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	-1	5	16.8	17.2	-0.40	15.4	15.9	-0.48
Elden Campbell	68	68	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.42	1	2	-1	17.9	13.6	4.25	15.7	15.5	0.19
Shaquille O'Neal	80	78	0.33	0.18	0.15	0.33	0	3	-3	16.4	21.9	-5.44	15.4	17.2	-1.78
Corie Blount	6	8	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	-2	7	24.2	16.4	7.76	17.2	15.5	1.79
Eddie Jones	74	75	0.25	0.26	-0.00	0.28	-1	4	-5	15.7	23.2	-7.47	15.3	17.4	-2.15
Jerome Kersey	52	54	0.25	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	0	3	19.1	13.8	5.34	16.4	14.4	2.01
Travis Knight	20	21	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	13.6	17.9	-4.25	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Derek Fisher	8	6	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.02	-2	5	-7	14.0	17.2	-3.23	11.3	15.9	-4.59
Sean Rooks	3	4	-0.05	0.56	-0.61	0.01	-2	5	-7	10.0	17.2	-7.18	15.0	15.6	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.7,0.47,0.69,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.87,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.95,0.97,1	92.5%
SAC 81, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	92.2%
MEM 86, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.54,0.75,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.1%