NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	8.7 [152]		MVP	Tony Smith (CHH): +8.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	92		Comeback	7.6 [112]		LVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): -47.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	85%	0.36	3	-0.28	1	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.00	16	65%	0.12	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	17	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Zidek	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Goldwire	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.41	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.28,-0.41	-0.14	-0.26	0.01	10	46%	-0.12	5	-0.29	8	62%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.05	0.01	12	80%	0.13	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.05
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.09	-0.01	21	54%	0.00	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	11	26%	-0.10	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.34	-0.34	-0.05	-0.30	-0.01	9	55%	-0.07	4	-0.27	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37,-0.47,-0.47	-0.47	-0.14	-0.32	0.00	9	38%	-0.22	5	-0.25	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.6	27.1	15.8	25.1	1.7	38.1	131.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +70.4%

CHH +0.5%

SEA -25.7%

CHH +3.0%

CHH +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	SEA	NBA	CHH	SEA	NBA
this game	18.0	14.7	15.6	106.8	104.5	104.4
season	15.7	14.9		108.0	108.9
opponent	16.2	16.0		100.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.8	17.3	19.5	17.5	18.0
SEA	14.3	13.3	13.9	17.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Smith	48	49	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.46	5	-3	8	17.5	18.6	-1.08	15.0	14.4	0.64
Dell Curry	74	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.48	4	-2	6	18.2	16.8	1.46	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Anthony Mason	88	88	0.51	0.00	0.51	0.45	2	0	2	18.0	0.0	18.01	14.7	0.0	14.72
Glen Rice	74	74	0.48	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	0	2	18.0	18.3	-0.33	14.4	16.4	-2.04
Vlade Divac	81	81	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.45	0	2	-2	17.9	19.7	-1.85	14.7	14.6	0.16
George Zidek	4	5	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	1	0	17.5	18.0	-0.54	16.0	14.6	1.36
Scott Burrell	29	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	3	-4	19.2	17.4	1.78	16.3	14.0	2.30
Anthony Goldwire	42	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.00	-3	5	-8	17.8	18.2	-0.48	14.0	15.3	-1.34

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	44	43	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.06	8	-10	18	12.5	17.0	-4.52	18.2	17.8	0.34
Eric Snow	23	23	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-2	2	16.1	14.2	1.86	20.9	17.0	3.93
Craig Ehlo	30	30	-0.09	-0.42	0.33	0.12	-7	5	-12	17.7	13.2	4.58	18.4	17.8	0.59
Larry Stewart	13	13	-0.11	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	3	-8	19.0	14.0	5.03	17.5	18.1	-0.65
Shawn Kemp	77	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-5	8	14.6	15.3	-0.64	17.7	20.4	-2.69
Detlef Schrempf	68	67	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.54	4	-6	10	13.7	18.2	-4.51	18.1	17.7	0.39
Gary Payton	77	78	-0.57	0.06	-0.63	-0.54	-1	-1	0	14.4	16.6	-2.19	17.7	20.7	-3.03
Hersey Hawkins	64	64	-0.61	0.10	-0.71	-0.55	-2	0	-2	13.5	18.1	-4.63	17.6	19.0	-1.42
Sam Perkins	44	45	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	8	-18	17.0	12.5	4.52	17.8	18.2	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 83, CHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	92.5%
BOS 90, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,0	92.2%
PHX 92, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.68,0.73,0	91.9%