NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	83		Excitement	10.0 [61]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +28.9%
Chicago Bulls	82		Comeback	4.4 [223]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -29.2%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.01,0.29,0.29	-0.02	0.32	0.00	14	42%	0.31	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.08
Stephen Jackson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,0.11	-0.06	0.16	-0.01	14	37%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Gerald Henderson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	9	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	4	30%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.15,-0.26	-0.01	-0.25	0.00	13	46%	-0.15	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.28,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.07	-0.03	28	55%	0.18	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.23	-0.23	-0.02	-0.21	0.00	6	46%	-0.20	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.22	-0.01	11	37%	-0.19	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	29.0	14.8	27.0	1.8	36.2	133.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +10.6%

CHA +21.8%

CHA +20.7%

CHI -0.4%

CHI -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	18.2	16.5	15.5	100.0	98.8	105.7
season	16.2	15.7		102.3	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		99.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.6	17.1	21.2	18.0	18.2
CHI	17.7	17.1	14.8	16.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	40	40	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.53	11	-10	21	16.6	19.7	-3.03	16.7	16.3	0.37
Stephen Jackson	62	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.54	1	0	1	17.8	19.2	-1.40	16.6	16.3	0.29
Boris Diaw	63	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-2	5	18.3	17.8	0.45	16.3	17.0	-0.72
Gerald Wallace	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	1	-1	18.2	18.1	0.13	16.3	18.0	-1.75
Gerald Henderson	40	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	4	-7	18.9	17.6	1.32	17.1	15.9	1.19
D.J. Augustin	58	59	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	0	1	17.7	19.3	-1.56	16.8	15.7	1.06
Nazr Mohammed	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	-4	9	17.4	18.7	-1.33	16.4	16.6	-0.24
Shaun Livingston	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	1	-1	19.3	17.7	1.56	15.7	16.8	-1.06
Matt Carroll	0	1	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	1	-1	0.0	18.2	-18.19	8.0	16.6	-8.61
Kwame Brown	24	24	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.10	-13	14	-27	21.3	16.9	4.42	16.7	16.4	0.28

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	20	18	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.24	0	-1	1	16.3	16.6	-0.27	20.8	17.5	3.37
Omer Asik	7	6	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-1	1	16.9	16.5	0.38	19.7	18.1	1.59
Keith Bogans	29	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-4	7	15.6	17.0	-1.47	19.2	17.7	1.51
Kyle Korver	39	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-4	7	17.0	16.1	0.88	17.9	18.5	-0.57
Ronnie Brewer	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	3	-7	17.1	15.4	1.73	17.7	19.1	-1.47
Kurt Thomas	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.49	1	-2	3	16.2	17.2	-1.05	18.5	17.3	1.17
Derrick Rose	67	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.55	-3	2	-5	16.7	15.6	1.09	17.7	20.4	-2.78
Taj Gibson	80	81	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.56	-3	2	-5	16.6	14.3	2.25	18.1	21.5	-3.39
Luol Deng	61	60	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.63	-2	1	-3	16.1	17.6	-1.54	17.8	19.1	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 94, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.57,0.58,0	92.5%
NOH 85, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.72,0	92.2%
LAL 109, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.63,0	91.8%