NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	9.6 [66]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): +38.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	8.5 [134]		LVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): -47.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.39	0.12	0.27	0.00	17	70%	0.51	2	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.04	-0.10	0.06	-0.00	3	33%	0.05	2	-0.09	6	33%	0.07
Shawn Marion	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	-0.00	25	49%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	19	51%	0.01	6	-0.18	9	89%	0.03
Tony Delk	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	9	26%	-0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.21	0.21	-0.01	0.21	-0.01	6	71%	0.33	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.14	0.01	8	69%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.07	-0.04	23	54%	0.08	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.04
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.22	-0.01	19	44%	-0.22	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.47	-0.47	-0.16	-0.32	-0.01	13	35%	-0.28	3	-0.19	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.2	2.7	27.7	15.0	27.8	1.7	34.0	143.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -1.2%

PHX +37.8%

SEA -10.9%

PHX +18.8%

PHX +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.6	96.8	96.8	102.3
season	15.1	16.0		101.0	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.8		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.6	14.3	13.5	15.9	15.0
SEA	16.1	17.8	12.6	16.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	30	31	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.75	9	-8	17	15.0	15.0	0.03	17.1	14.7	2.33
Shawn Marion	84	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	-1	3	15.0	14.7	0.28	15.0	19.9	-4.92
Anfernee Hardaway	87	86	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.49	-1	2	-3	14.8	16.9	-2.07	15.1	20.1	-5.06
Stephon Marbury	88	88	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.48	-1	2	-3	15.1	13.4	1.67	15.6	14.0	1.60
Jake Tsakalidis	47	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	-5	11	14.9	15.1	-0.21	15.6	15.4	0.17
Tony Delk	40	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	0	1	14.9	15.0	-0.14	16.0	15.2	0.84
Tom Gugliotta	56	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	3	-5	15.2	14.6	0.66	16.0	14.8	1.22
Alton Ford	6	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	5	-9	15.2	15.0	0.20	21.6	15.2	6.44
Jake Voskuhl	37	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	14.8	15.1	-0.32	13.9	16.5	-2.61

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	33	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	3	-7	15.4	15.6	-0.21	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Art Long	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	5	-11	15.9	15.1	0.79	14.3	15.6	-1.35
Jerome James	49	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-6	11	15.1	15.9	-0.79	15.6	14.3	1.35
Vladimir Radmanovic	26	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	3	-7	16.6	15.1	1.54	13.3	15.7	-2.35
Gary Payton	82	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-3	5	14.8	20.0	-5.16	14.9	15.6	-0.74
Desmond Mason	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-2	3	14.9	18.1	-3.23	15.5	12.6	2.92
Rashard Lewis	81	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.52	3	-4	7	15.7	14.4	1.29	15.1	14.4	0.65
Brent Barry	78	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.55	-2	1	-3	16.3	11.6	4.67	15.3	13.8	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.68,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 94, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.57,0.58,0	91.9%
POR 91, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.66,0.57,0.58,0	91.1%
CHA 83, CHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.58,0	91.0%