NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	8.3 [189]		MVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): +8.4%
Houston Rockets	94		Comeback	2.0 [692]		LVP	Dino Radja (BOS): -50.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	16	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Todd Day	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	12	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Frank Brickowski	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	14	52%	-0.02	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Dee Brown	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	9	28%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dino Radja	-0.51	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.29,-0.34,-0.39,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.51	-0.22	-0.24	0.04	21	23%	-0.47	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Tracy Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.01	13	59%	0.14	4	-0.16	6	67%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	12	42%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	16	42%	-0.07	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.12	0.02	13	50%	-0.03	7	-0.25	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	28.2	16.4	26.5	1.7	28.2	125.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +57.0%

HOU +9.5%

HOU +15.9%

BOS -32.8%

HOU +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.6	89.9	94.9	104.4
season	14.8	15.5		101.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	14.7		103.0	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	14.5	14.4	14.8	14.7
HOU	15.3	13.2	13.8	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Minor	32	32	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.17	12	-17	29	14.7	14.7	-0.08	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Todd Day	36	37	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.23	10	-15	25	14.4	14.9	-0.54	14.9	14.1	0.85
Rick Fox	57	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-5	5	14.6	14.8	-0.18	14.7	14.0	0.77
Dino Radja	83	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	14.7	14.5	0.25	14.3	14.7	-0.36
Frank Brickowski	32	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	5	-15	14.6	14.8	-0.17	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Eric Williams	64	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	15.0	14.1	0.87	14.5	14.2	0.30
Dana Barros	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-4	3	14.8	14.6	0.18	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Antoine Walker	56	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	11	-27	14.3	15.3	-0.97	14.7	14.0	0.71
Dee Brown	70	70	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.33	-16	11	-27	15.0	14.1	0.90	14.3	14.7	-0.38

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	83	84	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-12	29	14.3	14.6	-0.29	14.4	16.3	-1.84
Matt Maloney	81	80	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-9	23	14.3	14.7	-0.35	14.4	15.9	-1.47
Mario Elie	84	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	0	5	14.4	14.3	0.06	14.6	15.6	-1.09
Clyde Drexler	83	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-1	7	14.4	14.1	0.31	14.5	15.9	-1.47
Hakeem Olajuwon	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	-1	7	14.2	15.4	-1.24	14.9	13.6	1.35
Matt Bullard	16	16	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	6	-7	14.1	14.4	-0.31	15.9	14.5	1.47
Tracy Moore	15	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	5	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.06	15.6	14.6	1.09
Kevin Willis	33	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	18	-31	15.0	14.1	0.97	14.8	14.6	0.20
Randy Livingston	18	19	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.06	-9	14	-23	14.7	14.3	0.35	15.9	14.4	1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.71,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 85, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.84,0.99,1,1	92.8%
GSW 106, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.63,0.47,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,1	92.6%
OKC 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.9,0.73,1	92.6%