NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	5.3 [725]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +7.7%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.8 [748]		LVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): -16.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.04	0.03	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Randy Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.02	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	-0.07	-0.03	23	57%	0.10	3	-0.11	7	86%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Clyde Drexler	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	15	50%	-0.06	2	-0.04	12	75%	-0.07
Mario Elie	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	10	24%	-0.10	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	4	0%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	14	68%	0.11	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	11	46%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	21	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	50%	-0.05
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Acie Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	24.2	15.7	30.7	1.7	38.6	136.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.0%

HOU -3.8%

TOR +6.9%

TOR +8.6%

TOR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.6	96.7	107.5	104.4
season	15.5	16.1		107.2	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	17.3	17.5	13.4	16.0
TOR	13.9	17.0	14.6	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	42	44	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.29	13	-24	37	15.6	16.3	-0.68	15.3	15.0	0.36
Randy Livingston	17	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-10	9	15.3	16.1	-0.85	15.6	15.0	0.54
Matt Bullard	32	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	16.2	15.9	0.30	15.9	14.7	1.25
Clyde Drexler	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	15.8	18.4	-2.61	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Matt Maloney	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	16.1	15.3	0.85	15.0	15.6	-0.54
Charles Barkley	92	92	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	16.0	0.0	15.99	15.0	31.0	-16.02
Mario Elie	73	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	5	-21	15.7	17.1	-1.34	14.0	19.3	-5.35
Kevin Willis	45	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	9	-29	17.1	15.0	2.11	16.9	13.7	3.22

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	85	83	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.16	13	-2	15	15.1	15.4	-0.25	16.0	15.9	0.11
Popeye Jones	89	89	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-2	15	15.3	12.2	3.03	16.0	17.0	-1.04
Damon Stoudamire	78	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-3	17	15.5	13.2	2.33	15.7	17.6	-1.89
Sharone Wright	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	3	5	16.6	11.1	5.48	16.3	15.0	1.30
Walt Williams	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	2	7	15.2	14.9	0.38	16.1	15.5	0.58
Hubert Davis	49	48	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	9	-7	13.7	16.8	-3.12	15.4	16.6	-1.15
Acie Earl	24	21	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	15	-19	12.2	16.2	-3.97	16.9	15.7	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 88, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.83,1,1,1	93.9%
UTA 77, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.98,1	93.8%
NOH 90, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.76,0.72,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.7%