NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	11.1 [32]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (POR): +14.2%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	11.4 [119]		LVP	Mario Elie (HOU): -23.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	18	58%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	19	70%	0.17	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.11
Gary Trent	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	9	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	12	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18	-0.01	-0.18	-0.00	12	67%	0.02	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	5	-0.18	2	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.00	5	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.07	-0.02	10	46%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.02
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	18%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.10	-0.01	20	58%	-0.03	3	-0.06	12	75%	-0.03
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.03,-0.2,-0.13,-0.2,-0.27,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	21	51%	-0.12	3	-0.08	11	82%	-0.06
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	8	42%	0.00	5	-0.24	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	32.2	17.4	25.2	1.8	36.1	2.5	14.4	155.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -3.0%

HOU +29.0%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +14.9%

HOU +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.4	16.7	15.6	105.2	106.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		105.2	107.2
opponent	15.4	15.5		103.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.2	17.0	16.4	17.9	17.3	16.4
HOU	15.8	14.3	19.6	19.1	14.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	55	57	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.06	9	-10	19	16.2	16.6	-0.43	17.2	16.0	1.20
Gary Trent	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	1	-3	16.8	16.2	0.56	17.4	16.5	0.84
Randolph Childress	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	4	-9	12.1	16.9	-4.85	12.8	17.2	-4.43
Rasheed Wallace	66	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.57	12	-13	25	16.1	16.9	-0.80	16.9	16.4	0.54
Aaron McKie	23	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	0	-1	17.0	16.2	0.87	16.8	16.7	0.07
Isaiah Rider	79	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-3	5	16.4	16.2	0.18	16.3	18.7	-2.34
Kenny Anderson	79	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.57	2	-3	5	16.8	14.6	2.11	17.5	13.6	3.85
Clifford Robinson	90	89	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	16.2	19.3	-3.14	16.9	14.9	2.03
Chris Dudley	52	48	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.01	-19	18	-37	17.0	15.6	1.42	15.7	17.8	-2.10

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	78	76	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.74	6	-5	11	16.2	18.9	-2.71	16.0	17.7	-1.72
Charles Barkley	92	91	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.48	2	-1	3	16.7	17.7	-1.05	16.1	21.0	-4.87
Clyde Drexler	88	87	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	0	1	16.4	20.2	-3.83	16.2	18.2	-2.03
Matt Maloney	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.59	-7	8	-15	17.2	15.9	1.30	16.0	17.1	-1.12
Hakeem Olajuwon	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.54	-6	7	-13	17.0	15.8	1.21	16.7	15.3	1.46
Randy Livingston	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	-7	15	15.9	17.2	-1.30	17.1	16.0	1.12
Kevin Willis	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	-5	11	16.1	17.0	-0.89	16.3	16.4	-0.16
Sam Mack	12	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	1	-1	16.7	16.7	-0.08	17.5	16.2	1.24
Matt Bullard	14	16	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.20	-5	6	-11	21.6	15.9	5.74	18.2	16.0	2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.33,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, ATL 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.06,0.15,1	89.2%
SEA 91, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.28,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.41,0.28,1	88.2%
SAS 114, ATL 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.79,0.71,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.43,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.82,1	86.7%