NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	11.9 [14]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +78.1%
Atlanta Hawks	103		Comeback	39.8 [39]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (ATL): -31.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.51,0.51,0.14	0.01	0.10	-0.03	19	64%	0.53	7	-0.39	7	86%	0.04
Samardo Samuels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Manny Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.05
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.01	0.09	-0.06	0.02	17	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.06
Anthony Parker	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	46%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Semih Erden	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03	-0.07	0.04	0.00	9	54%	0.14	5	-0.17	6	50%	-0.09
Alonzo Gee	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.01	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.06

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,0.01,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.78	0.78	0.05	0.73	0.00	19	50%	0.78	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.03	29	44%	0.12	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.07
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.21,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.21	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26	-0.26	-0.01	-0.23	0.02	12	50%	-0.19	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.04	-0.27	0.00	13	38%	-0.21	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	25.1	15.7	27.2	1.7	29.7	1.5	19.5	150.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.2%

CLE -19.5%

ATL +16.0%

ATL +28.0%

ATL +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.6	103.0	105.1	102.8
season	15.5	15.7		99.5	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.6		99.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	16.2	18.6	14.1	14.6	15.8	15.9
ATL	15.8	14.1	15.2	22.6	14.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samardo Samuels	30	32	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.10	7	-8	15	14.9	16.3	-1.39	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Omri Casspi	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	6	-13	14.9	16.2	-1.26	20.5	15.0	5.45
Semih Erden	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	3	-7	15.2	15.9	-0.70	18.0	16.3	1.67
Manny Harris	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.30	7	-8	15	14.4	16.7	-2.37	18.3	15.3	3.02
Donald Sloan	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	7	-15	16.4	15.7	0.62	19.7	15.6	4.05
Tristan Thompson	74	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	5	-11	16.5	13.9	2.66	17.0	14.6	2.44
Anthony Parker	54	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	9	-19	16.6	15.0	1.59	15.5	17.4	-1.94
Kyrie Irving	80	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.56	7	-8	15	15.7	16.4	-0.62	15.6	19.7	-4.05
Alonzo Gee	75	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.60	6	-7	13	16.2	14.9	1.26	15.0	20.5	-5.45
Antawn Jamison	88	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.55	4	-5	9	15.9	16.0	-0.15	16.1	18.4	-2.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	88	89	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.48	13	-12	25	16.6	15.1	1.47	16.1	13.5	2.63
Willie Green	27	27	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.50	6	-5	11	17.2	16.1	1.06	16.8	15.5	1.30
Jeff Teague	82	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	0	1	15.6	20.4	-4.73	15.9	15.9	0.01
Josh Smith	95	95	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-3	7	16.5	14.0	2.49	15.9	14.7	1.17
Joe Johnson	83	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.51	0	1	-1	15.8	20.1	-4.31	15.7	16.7	-0.95
Jerry Stackhouse	20	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-2	5	16.2	16.5	-0.21	16.4	15.7	0.68
Tracy McGrady	16	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	4	-7	15.8	16.5	-0.72	16.8	15.7	1.10
Kirk Hinrich	69	69	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	8	-15	17.9	12.9	5.05	15.2	17.3	-2.10
Jason Collins	10	10	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	13	-25	15.1	16.6	-1.47	13.5	16.1	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.06,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 91, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.28,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.41,0.28,1	89.8%
POR 101, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.33,0.41,1	89.2%
MIN 101, DEN 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.46,0.14,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,1	87.9%