inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 101 Excitement12.0 [12] MVPDerrick Williams (MIN): +11.8%
Denver Nuggets 103 Comeback6.0 [211] LVPMartell Webster (MIN): -26.4%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Williams0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.002100%0.1200.001100%0.01
Wesley Johnson-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01350%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Anthony Tolliver-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nikola Pekovic-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.011033%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Brad Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.02737%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Michael Beasley-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.080.04-0.110.011650%-0.0800.00250%-0.04
Ricky Rubio-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.05-0.011644%0.025-0.154100%0.04
Luke Ridnour-0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.190.02-0.190.021055%-0.161-0.032100%0.00
Kevin Love-0.260,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26-0.10-0.16-0.002243%-0.084-0.197100%0.13
Martell Webster-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26-0.05-0.170.051043%-0.163-0.103100%0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.050.014100%0.161-0.042100%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.00781%0.101-0.012100%0.01
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Julyan Stone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00262%0.032-0.08475%0.03
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.00540%-0.034-0.0700%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.24,-0.32,-0.41,-0.41,-0.18-0.18-0.03-0.17-0.011843%-0.152-0.031080%0.04
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.17-0.06-0.02823%-0.084-0.13683%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.04,0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21-0.210.02-0.24-0.002949%-0.022-0.1950%-0.27
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24-0.24-0.07-0.140.021533%-0.2400.00667%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.51.829.415.725.51.832.22.424.6156.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +44.9%
MIN -31.1%
DEN +39.6%
MIN -2.4%
MIN -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game15.414.915.698.196.3102.8
season15.314.5102.6107.5
opponent15.815.1104.5104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN14.216.616.016.312.715.4
DEN15.814.114.718.99.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Williams41400.35-0.851.190.118-101816.814.42.3216.114.21.94
Nikola Pekovic28300.07-0.570.64-0.054-61016.015.10.8816.114.51.57
Wesley Johnson37390.04-0.540.58-0.115-71214.316.0-1.7015.214.80.47
Brad Miller1212-0.08-0.420.34-0.02-20-215.315.4-0.0314.715.0-0.21
Jose Juan Barea2324-0.11-0.390.280.13-86-1418.014.63.4616.614.42.18
Kevin Love9498-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.515-71214.919.8-4.8415.013.81.26
Ricky Rubio8285-0.39-0.12-0.27-0.597-91614.817.5-2.7214.715.8-1.11
Anthony Tolliver1718-0.40-0.10-0.290.10-1715-3215.315.4-0.0812.315.5-3.13
Martell Webster6062-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.33-31-416.014.51.4614.915.0-0.19
Michael Beasley6566-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.32-64-1016.014.31.6514.315.9-1.53
Luke Ridnour5661-0.710.21-0.91-0.62-31-413.817.2-3.3714.415.7-1.26

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried76720.88-0.381.270.716-41014.815.3-0.5014.317.7-3.36
Al Harrington79780.82-0.321.130.3217-153214.715.7-1.0616.113.03.06
Arron Afflalo92870.65-0.150.800.563-1414.418.1-3.6414.719.1-4.38
Andre Miller57550.430.070.37-0.0316-143015.314.50.8516.014.61.45
Corey Brewer84810.390.110.290.48-35-816.110.75.4515.116.1-0.99
Julyan Stone37360.240.26-0.020.36-46-1014.015.4-1.3914.515.8-1.28
Ty Lawson34320.060.44-0.39-0.0020214.115.3-1.2416.215.01.25
Jordan Hamilton1718-0.270.77-1.05-0.04-810-1814.215.1-0.8317.714.92.80
Kosta Koufos3434-0.340.84-1.19-0.28-24-614.615.1-0.4617.114.52.54
Timofey Mozgov2522-0.360.86-1.210.14-1719-3616.714.42.2813.415.9-2.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.26,0.46,0.14,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 101, BOS 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.84,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.53,0.25,0.08,0.09,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.42,188.0%
CLE 102, ATL 1030.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.06,0.15,187.9%
SEA 91, PHX 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.28,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.41,0.28,187.0%