NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	118		Excitement	3.8 [1008]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +6.6%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	1.5 [458]		LVP	Todd Day (BOS): -8.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	17	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
David Wingate	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Greg Graham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Ehlo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Driggers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Brickowski	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	79%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.03	3	-0.05	13	69%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	-0.07	16	36%	-0.05	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	15	43%	-0.03	4	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Todd Day	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.06	16	44%	0.01	4	-0.09	7	57%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.6	25.4	16.2	23.7	2.5	27.2	122.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +38.8%

SEA +0.1%

BOS -0.2%

SEA +15.5%

BOS -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	BOS	NBA	SEA	BOS	NBA
this game	14.2	15.0	15.6	120.4	91.9	104.4
season	14.9	14.8		108.9	101.8
opponent	14.7	16.2		109.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.2	11.6	16.2	13.7	14.2
BOS	11.9	17.7	13.2	17.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	49	49	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.43	29	-2	31	12.9	15.5	-2.57	16.6	13.5	3.13
Craig Ehlo	43	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.26	23	4	19	14.1	14.3	-0.12	16.2	14.2	2.07
Larry Stewart	50	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.14	16	11	5	13.1	15.4	-2.25	15.1	14.9	0.22
Shawn Kemp	65	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	15	-3	15.0	12.7	2.27	14.2	16.6	-2.37
Gary Payton	68	69	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	16	-5	14.6	13.2	1.45	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Sam Perkins	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.24	19	8	11	13.9	14.5	-0.61	16.2	14.1	2.15
Detlef Schrempf	61	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	18	-9	15.1	12.7	2.46	15.0	15.1	-0.08
Hersey Hawkins	45	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	28	-29	14.8	13.7	1.18	13.9	16.0	-2.08
David Wingate	18	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.12	7	20	-13	12.4	14.6	-2.16	15.9	14.8	1.15
Greg Graham	21	21	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.25	9	18	-9	13.5	14.4	-0.87	16.6	14.6	2.02
Antonio Harvey	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	22	-17	14.1	14.2	-0.15	15.2	15.0	0.21
Jim McIlvaine	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	31	-35	15.6	14.0	1.63	8.1	16.0	-7.91

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Brickowski	49	49	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-30	33	12.6	17.4	-4.83	16.0	12.4	3.59
Nate Driggers	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.23	-9	-18	9	19.0	13.9	5.05	12.8	14.6	-1.84
Eric Williams	67	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-14	1	14.3	16.6	-2.26	14.8	12.8	2.07
Rick Fox	70	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-15	3	15.3	14.4	0.82	14.4	13.8	0.53
Brett Szabo	25	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-10	-7	17.5	14.2	3.28	11.3	15.2	-3.93
Todd Day	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-14	1	13.9	18.4	-4.47	14.9	12.2	2.70
Marty Conlon	39	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.34	-24	-3	-21	16.9	13.8	3.12	11.8	15.7	-3.89
Antoine Walker	53	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.27	-22	-5	-17	15.9	14.1	1.80	14.5	13.9	0.63
Dana Barros	95	95	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.32	-28	1	-29	14.7	23.2	-8.57	14.1	18.7	-4.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 111, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHA 117, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAS 97, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%