NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	97		Excitement	3.5 [1125]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +14.6%
Phoenix Suns	87		Comeback	1.4 [1168]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -15.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.01	-0.07	11	59%	0.15	1	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	74%	0.11	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.08	5	48%	0.06	4	-0.03	15	67%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	37%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	68%	0.09	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	41%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.05	7	62%	-0.01	3	-0.03	10	90%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	5	46%	-0.01	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	-0.03	14	31%	-0.07	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	33.5	15.3	29.1	2.4	34.7	141.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.1%

SAS +9.5%

PHX -6.0%

SAS +9.0%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	15.4	98.0	87.9	104.1
season	15.2	15.2		106.4	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.3	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.3	14.2	15.2	13.4	14.2
PHX	17.0	14.0	16.1	12.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	49	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-3	16	13.0	15.5	-2.50	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Stephen Jackson	32	32	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	-2	14	12.4	15.1	-2.64	15.1	14.8	0.29
Matt Bonner	36	35	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-4	18	12.2	15.4	-3.19	15.5	14.5	0.91
Boris Diaw	43	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	2	6	13.0	15.2	-2.24	16.2	13.8	2.40
Danny Green	44	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	2	6	15.5	13.2	2.26	15.4	14.5	0.85
Manu Ginobili	49	52	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	4	2	13.5	14.9	-1.45	15.3	14.4	0.92
Tim Duncan	56	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	9	-8	16.0	11.9	4.05	14.3	15.6	-1.34
Tiago Splitter	56	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	9	-8	15.3	12.8	2.53	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Kawhi Leonard	67	67	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.17	-2	12	-14	15.1	12.4	2.64	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Nando De Colo	56	56	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.28	-7	17	-24	15.0	13.2	1.75	14.1	15.9	-1.75
Aron Baynes	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	9.6	14.6	-5.00	7.5	15.3	-7.84

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Diante Garrett	20	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-11	12	14.6	14.9	-0.27	12.5	14.7	-2.16
Jared Dudley	72	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.32	7	-17	24	14.8	15.0	-0.18	15.0	12.3	2.70
Luis Scola	45	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-13	16	13.5	16.0	-2.57	14.9	13.6	1.25
Goran Dragic	77	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-12	14	14.6	15.6	-0.99	14.7	12.6	2.04
Michael Beasley	7	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-3	-4	13.9	14.9	-1.09	15.2	14.2	1.01
Markieff Morris	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-1	-8	17.2	13.7	3.51	13.5	14.6	-1.05
Marcin Gortat	83	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-12	14	14.4	17.2	-2.77	14.6	12.3	2.28
Jermaine O'Neal	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-1	-8	16.4	14.3	2.17	12.8	14.7	-1.97
Marcus Morris	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-5	0	12.7	16.7	-3.98	14.3	14.2	0.12
Kendall Marshall	11	12	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	0	-10	14.9	14.9	0.05	11.3	14.6	-3.29
Wesley Johnson	6	6	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	4	-18	22.2	14.4	7.77	11.7	14.4	-2.72
PJ Tucker	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	1	-12	15.8	12.8	2.99	14.0	14.6	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 107, GSW 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
OKC 116, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
NOH 94, WAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%