inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 111 Excitement3.1 [1155] MVPAndrea Bargnani (TOR): +21.8%
Detroit Pistons 97 Comeback1.3 [569] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -5.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.030.032272%0.231-0.012100%0.00
Amir Johnson0.130,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.210.000.081284%0.131-0.00786%0.01
Jarrett Jack0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.00-0.04875%0.104-0.034100%0.02
DeMar DeRozan0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.021057%0.0710.0010%-0.01
Marco Belinelli0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02475%0.0300.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.00-0.02667%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Banks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01337%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Sonny Weems-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.000.02743%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.140.000.091277%0.093-0.047100%0.02
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.021262%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021357%0.032-0.02475%-0.00
DaJuan Summers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02650%-0.0100.00450%-0.01
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.03550%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011155%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01725%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01629%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.633.317.529.42.725.3137.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +54.1%
DET -4.9%
DET -3.9%
TOR +4.5%
TOR +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game16.316.015.3124.7109.0106.0
season15.016.8109.6104.0
opponent15.215.5109.8111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.314.615.119.716.3
DET16.517.516.213.916.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrea Bargnani71690.51-0.010.510.0117-32016.117.4-1.3716.713.72.98
Sonny Weems74720.460.040.41-0.0417-32016.316.7-0.4617.310.76.56
Jarrett Jack46440.450.050.40-0.1420-62617.315.41.8916.315.80.52
Amir Johnson59610.430.070.36-0.3025-113616.116.9-0.8317.911.86.11
Marco Belinelli33330.310.190.120.1468-215.516.9-1.3714.716.8-2.04
Hedo Turkoglu38390.200.30-0.11-0.10104616.116.5-0.4217.514.92.58
Jose Calderon41430.120.38-0.260.09113-1214.917.6-2.7716.715.31.42
Reggie Evans15150.070.43-0.370.07014-1419.915.64.3115.216.2-0.98
DeMar DeRozan49500.010.49-0.480.24-822-3017.315.12.1813.718.9-5.18
Marcus Banks440.000.50-0.500.12-418-2215.516.4-0.893.716.6-12.84
Patrick O'Bryant440.000.50-0.500.12-418-2215.516.4-0.893.716.6-12.84
Rasho Nesterovic1111-0.040.54-0.580.25-1024-3416.716.30.438.117.1-9.04

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DaJuan Summers1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-17209.217.0-7.7917.916.11.78
Jason Maxiell5149-0.01-0.490.48-0.155-192416.115.90.1616.516.20.31
Charlie Villanueva4645-0.06-0.450.39-0.081-151615.516.6-1.1015.317.4-2.05
Jonas Jerebko2930-0.19-0.310.11-0.16-1-131215.116.5-1.4018.415.33.15
Ben Gordon7980-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.15-4-10615.817.9-2.1316.515.21.25
Tayshaun Prince5756-0.31-0.19-0.130.19-173-2018.112.45.6815.717.5-1.81
Austin Daye2829-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.06-9-5-413.917.0-3.0918.015.52.50
Rodney Stuckey3637-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.02-12-2-1016.115.90.1715.916.7-0.73
Will Bynum7373-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.18-8-6-215.816.9-1.1316.117.6-1.48
Ben Wallace3535-0.550.05-0.600.27-2814-4218.814.24.5515.616.9-1.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 98, POR 780.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
CHI 95, UTA 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
SEA 118, BOS 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%