NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	2.9 [1223]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +8.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	78		Comeback	1.5 [437]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -11.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.05	19	55%	0.11	3	-0.02	11	82%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	62%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	5	79%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	6	93%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	41%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	14	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.02	0.10	7	88%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Sergei Monia	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	9	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	12	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	25.8	14.8	24.5	1.8	33.3	129.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.5%

IND +7.3%

IND +9.3%

POR -0.9%

IND +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	16.7	17.4	15.6	115.3	92.9	104.4
season	16.0	16.6		102.3	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		109.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	14.2	18.1	17.5	16.7
POR	18.2	19.2	19.8	13.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.24	25	-5	30	16.2	17.3	-1.10	19.1	14.7	4.43
Jermaine O'Neal	68	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	2	16	17.6	12.8	4.87	17.4	17.4	0.02
Metta World Peace	58	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.27	20	0	20	17.2	15.6	1.62	17.0	18.3	-1.34
Sarunas Jasikevicius	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	7	6	16.0	17.7	-1.75	17.0	18.2	-1.26
Anthony Johnson	33	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	13	-6	17.7	16.0	1.75	18.2	17.0	1.26
Danny Granger	24	25	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	14	-8	15.0	17.3	-2.25	17.3	17.5	-0.15
Fred Jones	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	13	-6	17.3	16.1	1.20	17.1	17.8	-0.70
Stephen Jackson	58	59	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	18	-16	16.4	17.2	-0.83	17.1	18.2	-1.16
Jeff Foster	38	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	20	-20	16.1	17.1	-1.10	17.4	17.4	-0.00
Eddie Gill	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	9.3	16.9	-7.59	9.0	17.7	-8.74

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	13.1	18.5	-5.48	16.9	16.6	0.28
Viktor Khryapa	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-25	30	13.1	19.1	-5.98	17.5	16.3	1.11
Jarrett Jack	45	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-19	18	16.2	18.8	-2.65	17.5	15.8	1.70
Ha Seung-Jin	48	47	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-23	26	15.9	19.5	-3.67	15.9	17.6	-1.71
Travis Outlaw	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-14	8	15.3	18.7	-3.37	17.2	16.3	0.85
Juan Dixon	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	-8	-4	18.8	16.9	1.90	17.2	16.4	0.82
Darius Miles	62	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.11	-14	-6	-8	17.9	16.1	1.81	17.0	15.7	1.26
Sebastian Telfair	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-4	-12	18.9	15.7	3.19	16.0	17.4	-1.45
Joel Przybilla	32	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.19	-20	0	-20	20.2	15.7	4.56	16.6	16.7	-0.02
Zach Randolph	51	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.17	-21	1	-22	19.7	14.0	5.70	16.5	16.9	-0.41
Sergei Monia	40	41	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.16	-21	1	-22	18.4	16.6	1.81	15.8	17.5	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 132, NOP 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
WAS 120, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
TOR 111, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%