inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 104 Excitement10.9 [38] MVPJeff Hornacek (UTA): +26.8%
Utah Jazz 109 Comeback7.6 [160] LVPBryon Russell (UTA): -26.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Price0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.23,0.23,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.04-0.021355%0.182-0.125100%0.04
Andrew DeClercq-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00150%-0.0200.002100%0.02
Donyell Marshall-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Donald Royal-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.030.00382%0.022-0.055100%0.02
Latrell Sprewell-0.060,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.050.040.052551%0.033-0.091385%0.03
Felton Spencer-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.07-0.01250%-0.0800.00450%-0.10
Todd Fuller-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.0010%-0.051-0.0520%-0.03
Chris Mullin-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.07-0.001156%0.033-0.13580%0.02
B.J. Armstrong-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.06-0.090.02641%-0.131-0.04560%-0.02
Joe Smith-0.190,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.11-0.10-0.021945%-0.045-0.142100%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.130.14-0.001770%0.301-0.03989%0.01
John Stockton0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.020.11-0.001050%0.141-0.05475%-0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00567%0.043-0.062100%0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.07-0.02671%0.013-0.0720%-0.08
Antoine Carr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.06-0.001040%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Jamie Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.02333%-0.012-0.0700%0.00
Adam Keefe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.00125%-0.023-0.11250%-0.01
Karl Malone0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.33,-0.32,-0.32,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.10-0.19-0.022356%0.157-0.421369%-0.12
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.10-0.18-0.01631%-0.102-0.17475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.71.628.214.830.21.831.01.614.1151.0
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +64.3%
GSW -28.0%
UTA +35.7%
GSW -30.8%
UTA +8.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWUTANBAGSWUTANBA
this game14.515.115.696.3101.9104.4
season15.015.6104.4110.8
opponent16.015.4102.2109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW13.415.013.714.818.414.5
UTA13.314.415.815.221.415.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Felton Spencer39410.19-0.690.88-0.027-121914.814.30.5616.114.51.58
Donyell Marshall10100.02-0.520.54-0.011-6716.714.22.4713.415.3-1.90
Mark Price6869-0.04-0.460.41-0.040-5514.514.30.2215.215.00.15
Todd Fuller2421-0.12-0.390.270.09-72-914.014.6-0.6515.015.1-0.09
B.J. Armstrong4746-0.21-0.290.07-0.241-6714.314.6-0.2214.515.6-1.05
Chris Mullin7980-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.32-3-2-114.514.30.2615.115.3-0.18
Donald Royal4542-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.28-50-513.914.9-0.9814.915.3-0.40
Joe Smith9697-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.480-5514.712.71.9315.214.30.91
Andrew DeClercq3332-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.12-138-2114.114.6-0.5415.215.10.14
Latrell Sprewell9997-0.510.01-0.53-0.34-61-714.315.8-1.4315.214.60.58

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Stockton83830.60-0.100.710.378-31115.713.02.7915.112.32.79
Greg Ostertag55560.55-0.050.600.2012-71915.914.31.6214.214.7-0.44
Karl Malone91920.55-0.050.590.318-31115.016.0-1.0313.917.6-3.71
Jeff Hornacek80810.480.020.460.3641315.215.00.2114.015.9-1.90
Adam Keefe27280.430.070.350.2850515.015.2-0.2115.314.21.16
Shandon Anderson46450.200.30-0.100.0550515.115.10.0215.214.01.23
Bryon Russell55550.170.33-0.160.1414-315.315.00.3114.714.20.54
Jamie Watson2524-0.100.60-0.690.17-914-2313.915.5-1.6214.814.40.48
Howard Eisley2425-0.100.60-0.71-0.01-38-1113.015.7-2.7912.315.1-2.79
Antoine Carr4951-0.280.78-1.05-0.10-611-1715.015.2-0.2614.914.10.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.73,0.31,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.9,0.99,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 114, ORL 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.92,190.0%
ORL 114, HOU 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.31,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,188.4%
ORL 78, NOK 840.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,188.1%