NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	8.2 [201]		MVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): +19.5%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	28.1 [42]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -41.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vincent Askew	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.05	9	56%	0.04	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	87%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01	0.03	-0.06	-0.01	7	69%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jerome Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.10	0.01	15	66%	0.15	3	-0.21	5	80%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.18	-0.08	-0.00	5	20%	-0.14	4	-0.12	5	20%	-0.07
Reggie Miller	-0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.36,-0.42	-0.22	-0.21	-0.01	18	31%	-0.20	4	-0.22	6	83%	0.06

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,0,0.2	0.20	-0.02	0.21	-0.01	13	62%	0.36	4	-0.16	8	87%	0.03
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	58%	0.04	5	-0.14	17	76%	0.03
Clyde Drexler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	6	35%	-0.10	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.05
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	1.8	34.1	15.4	26.5	2.4	34.8	145.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.0%

HOU +16.3%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +0.3%

IND -7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.6	93.6	95.7	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		103.6	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.3		103.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.2	13.0	14.4	16.3	14.6
HOU	14.8	13.7	19.2	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	30	29	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.10	8	-10	18	15.5	14.2	1.30	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Vincent Askew	57	57	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.16	-2	0	-2	14.4	15.0	-0.68	16.4	15.5	0.84
Jerome Allen	20	20	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.04	2	-4	6	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Fred Hoiberg	18	19	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.05	1	-3	4	14.9	14.5	0.40	17.5	15.6	1.89
Jalen Rose	17	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	5	-12	16.7	14.2	2.55	13.0	16.7	-3.74
Duane Ferrell	32	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-5	8	14.9	14.5	0.39	15.2	16.4	-1.23
Antonio Davis	44	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-2	2	14.3	14.9	-0.65	17.5	14.7	2.77
Travis Best	57	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.56	3	-5	8	14.2	15.3	-1.17	17.1	14.4	2.69
Derrick McKey	41	43	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	14.3	14.8	-0.53	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Reggie Miller	76	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.51	-3	1	-4	14.5	14.9	-0.40	15.6	17.5	-1.89
Dale Davis	78	79	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.49	-10	8	-18	14.7	14.1	0.59	15.7	17.8	-2.12

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	61	62	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.50	11	-9	20	15.9	16.3	-0.48	14.7	14.4	0.32
Charles Barkley	86	85	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	15.8	17.9	-2.03	14.7	13.7	1.05
Clyde Drexler	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.58	-4	6	-10	16.1	15.8	0.26	15.0	13.3	1.71
Matt Maloney	43	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.59	-5	7	-12	16.6	15.5	1.03	14.7	14.5	0.21
Mario Elie	42	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.62	-7	9	-16	17.8	14.6	3.23	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Sam Mack	41	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	-8	18	15.1	16.7	-1.55	14.7	14.5	0.22
Emanual Davis	51	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.15	7	-5	12	15.5	16.6	-1.03	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Matt Bullard	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.19	5	-3	8	14.7	16.7	-2.01	14.2	14.8	-0.58
Kevin Willis	41	41	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.02	-13	15	-28	16.6	15.5	1.09	14.2	14.9	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.31,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,1	92.0%
POR 107, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%
DET 77, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	90.8%