NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	7.7 [252]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +37.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	8.8 [106]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -12.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeJuan Blair	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.07,0.05	0.09	-0.04	-0.00	16	60%	0.21	1	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
George Hill	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	52%	0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.05
Matt Bonner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.12	-0.05	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07	0.03	-0.11	-0.01	16	53%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.37	0.37	0.19	0.19	0.01	9	95%	0.41	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	22	55%	0.21	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.09	0.01	5	100%	0.11	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	14	34%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.8	30.2	19.6	26.0	2.8	45.1	152.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.1%

SAS -2.6%

POR +32.6%

SAS -26.3%

POR +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	17.6	15.4	15.3	105.7	111.6	106.0
season	15.9	16.7		108.2	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.3	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.2	18.0	17.8	16.6	17.6
POR	14.5	15.4	18.2	14.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	56	53	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.03	12	-15	27	18.1	16.8	1.29	16.0	14.6	1.36
DeJuan Blair	38	38	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.16	3	-6	9	18.3	17.1	1.24	14.6	16.1	-1.45
Matt Bonner	11	9	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-8	13	13.9	18.2	-4.26	13.3	15.7	-2.35
Michael Finley	14	14	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-7	11	13.6	18.4	-4.75	11.8	16.2	-4.37
Keith Bogans	32	31	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-2	1	17.6	17.7	-0.07	14.0	16.2	-2.20
Richard Jefferson	57	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-3	3	19.6	14.1	5.46	16.5	13.3	3.27
Manu Ginobili	57	55	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.46	-6	3	-9	16.6	19.6	-3.05	14.7	16.8	-2.13
Antonio McDyess	50	49	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.56	-7	4	-11	17.4	17.9	-0.50	16.4	14.1	2.34
Tim Duncan	58	58	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.55	-9	6	-15	17.6	17.7	-0.15	15.8	14.6	1.18
George Hill	67	66	-0.95	0.45	-1.39	-0.48	-16	13	-29	17.8	17.1	0.65	15.8	14.2	1.62

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	62	64	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.51	8	-5	13	15.7	14.9	0.79	17.2	18.7	-1.47
Nicolas Batum	45	46	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-6	15	13.6	17.5	-3.86	17.4	17.9	-0.56
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	75	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-9	21	15.4	15.6	-0.16	18.0	15.5	2.55
Martell Webster	54	57	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.56	2	1	1	15.8	14.8	1.00	16.9	19.0	-2.06
Juwan Howard	50	53	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.59	-4	7	-11	15.9	14.8	1.09	16.8	18.9	-2.07
Jeff Ayres	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-1	5	13.8	15.8	-1.99	14.5	18.3	-3.82
Jerryd Bayless	21	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	17.9	14.7	3.20	19.4	17.1	2.28
Rudy Fernandez	48	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.20	1	2	-1	15.3	15.6	-0.29	17.9	17.3	0.68
Dante Cunningham	33	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.05	-6	9	-15	15.5	15.4	0.17	19.5	16.5	3.05
Steve Blake	28	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.09	-5	8	-13	15.6	15.4	0.25	18.7	17.1	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 107, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.58,1	92.2%
IND 88, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.31,0.73,1	92.0%
CHI 91, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.53,1	91.6%