NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	10.6 [44]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (POR): +19.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	5.0 [258]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -56.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1	0.00	0.10	0.01	12	50%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.16
Doug West	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Sam Mitchell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	12	45%	-0.05	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
Terry Porter	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	4	27%	-0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,-0.06,-0.19	0.01	-0.19	0.01	22	52%	-0.05	2	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.57	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.2,-0.51,-0.51,-0.57,-0.57,-0.57,-0.57	-0.14	-0.42	0.00	18	27%	-0.57	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.11

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.2	0.20	-0.04	0.24	0.00	17	49%	0.21	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	13	78%	0.23	4	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	12	57%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.07
Isaiah Rider	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	45%	-0.00	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	11	25%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dontonio Wingfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.17,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.46,-0.46	-0.46	-0.13	-0.35	-0.02	6	21%	-0.23	3	-0.23	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	30.5	16.4	25.7	1.7	36.4	0.8	22.0	161.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +67.8%

POR +5.6%

POR +12.7%

MIN -38.6%

POR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.6	94.0	94.1	104.4
season	15.5	15.5		103.3	105.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.6	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	16.0	15.6	16.3	14.4	16.8	15.8
POR	12.3	17.1	14.3	19.6	18.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	31	31	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.01	7	-8	15	15.2	16.0	-0.88	19.0	14.5	4.51
Sam Mitchell	52	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	16.3	15.2	1.04	17.8	13.8	4.00
Terry Porter	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	1	-3	15.9	15.7	0.22	13.0	18.2	-5.26
Doug West	66	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	4	-9	16.1	15.1	0.94	14.3	19.2	-4.87
Tom Gugliotta	80	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.43	6	-7	13	15.9	15.4	0.46	16.0	15.3	0.74
Dean Garrett	24	23	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	8	-17	15.4	15.9	-0.52	17.7	15.3	2.42
Kevin Garnett	84	87	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-7	13	15.3	18.4	-3.10	15.6	17.3	-1.64
James Robinson	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-2	3	15.7	15.9	-0.22	18.2	13.0	5.26
Stojko Vrankovic	54	54	-0.50	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	6	-13	15.9	15.6	0.26	13.1	19.0	-5.85

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arvydas Sabonis	64	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.11	21	-20	41	14.9	17.5	-2.63	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Gary Trent	26	26	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.60	-4	5	-9	18.3	15.0	3.33	15.5	15.9	-0.31
Kenny Anderson	85	83	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	3	-5	15.3	19.0	-3.72	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Clifford Robinson	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	-6	13	14.3	19.0	-4.67	16.0	15.3	0.77
Dontonio Wingfield	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.31	-7	8	-15	19.0	14.5	4.50	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Isaiah Rider	54	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	-1	3	13.9	18.1	-4.22	16.1	15.4	0.77
Mitchell Butler	6	6	0.05	0.44	-0.39	-0.01	2	-1	3	20.8	15.6	5.28	17.7	15.6	2.02
Rasheed Wallace	79	78	0.04	0.45	-0.41	-0.13	6	-5	11	15.2	18.3	-3.13	15.8	15.8	-0.00
Aaron McKie	49	49	-0.06	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	3	-5	18.0	13.9	4.13	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Chris Dudley	37	33	-0.19	0.68	-0.87	0.37	-19	20	-39	17.5	14.9	2.63	16.5	15.4	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.84,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 116, LAC 121	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.86,0.86,0.42,0.5,0.31,0.29,0.43,0.58,1	91.1%
SAS 93, BKN 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.93,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.85,1	88.9%
HOU 99, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.8,0.88,0.85,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.48,0.43,0.58,1	88.9%