NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	11.7 [23]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +92.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	18.8 [53]		LVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): -19.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.63	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,0.63	-0.04	0.66	-0.01	13	42%	0.67	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.14
Tracy McGrady	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.07	0.11	-0.02	23	54%	0.25	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.06
Carl Landry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	0.00	3	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	-0.00	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	10	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	9	41%	-0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.18,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,0.92	0.92	-0.11	1.01	-0.03	18	42%	1.12	5	-0.20	4	100%	0.04
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	4	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.09	0.02	20	57%	0.01	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.10
Ike Diogu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.10	-0.00	9	75%	0.17	2	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.05	-0.18	0.00	12	54%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	3.6	32.2	19.6	25.4	3.6	39.8	2.7	19.2	169.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +63.7%

HOU -48.7%

POR +59.6%

HOU -28.0%

POR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	16.2	18.2	15.5	106.5	109.8	106.4
season	16.3	16.7		105.9	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.2		105.8	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	19.2	14.0	16.2	17.1	14.1	16.2
POR	18.7	17.3	17.3	20.8	15.9	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	49	49	0.59	-1.09	1.69	0.51	3	-5	8	15.5	17.0	-1.56	17.5	18.9	-1.35
Charles Hayes	44	43	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.10	4	-6	10	15.9	16.6	-0.69	19.0	17.5	1.48
Metta World Peace	71	70	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-3	4	16.5	15.2	1.37	18.7	16.3	2.42
Rafer Alston	47	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	2	-6	16.0	16.5	-0.54	18.1	18.2	-0.15
Yao Ming	74	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.60	16	-18	34	16.7	14.3	2.47	17.8	19.7	-1.92
Tracy McGrady	78	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.40	6	-8	14	15.9	17.8	-1.88	18.3	17.4	0.91
Luis Scola	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	6	-14	17.0	15.7	1.31	18.7	17.8	0.84
Brent Barry	27	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	7	-16	17.0	15.9	1.14	17.0	18.7	-1.67
Carl Landry	27	27	-1.81	1.31	-3.12	-1.31	-17	15	-32	16.1	16.3	-0.11	18.7	18.0	0.71

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	50	54	1.43	-0.93	2.35	1.10	11	-9	20	17.8	18.6	-0.84	15.6	17.1	-1.47
Rudy Fernandez	49	48	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.74	5	-3	8	18.2	18.1	0.09	15.9	16.6	-0.68
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	79	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-5	12	18.4	16.7	1.71	16.0	17.4	-1.42
Travis Outlaw	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	0	2	18.6	17.4	1.22	15.6	17.4	-1.86
Brandon Roy	70	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	0	2	18.2	18.2	-0.02	16.1	16.7	-0.60
Channing Frye	30	31	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	-7	16	18.6	17.9	0.70	16.5	16.1	0.34
Sergio Rodriguez	19	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.18	-5	7	-12	19.3	17.9	1.39	16.5	16.2	0.34
Ike Diogu	5	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	4	-6	22.2	17.9	4.27	11.2	16.4	-5.20
Joel Przybilla	65	65	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.09	-13	15	-28	17.6	19.6	-1.97	17.3	13.7	3.64
Nicolas Batum	33	35	-0.99	1.49	-2.47	-0.81	-6	8	-14	16.8	18.9	-2.14	17.7	15.3	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.8,0.88,0.85,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.48,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.85,0.72,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.42,1	90.0%
DEN 106, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.66,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	90.0%
IND 110, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	89.9%