NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	8.5 [170]		MVP	Olden Polynice (SAC): +20.2%
Sacramento Kings	87		Comeback	6.1 [120]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): -20.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.07,0.07	-0.07	0.12	-0.01	15	40%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.07
Ivano Newbill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	76%	0.13	5	-0.14	7	57%	-0.05
Willie Burton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Tyrone Corbin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Christian Laettner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.01	19	49%	0.07	3	-0.15	9	78%	0.04
Jon Barry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.23,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	15	37%	-0.13	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.10

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.00	16	66%	0.22	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Lionel Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.12	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	14	36%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	0.04	-0.22	0.02	23	56%	-0.06	2	-0.15	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.7	26.6	16.5	25.3	1.7	37.2	131.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +11.4%

SAC -0.6%

ATL +22.1%

ATL +4.8%

ATL +12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	17.3	15.1	15.6	103.4	96.7	104.4
season	16.4	15.4		105.3	102.4
opponent	15.4	16.0		106.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.9	19.0	15.2	17.2	17.3
SAC	14.9	14.6	15.4	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Corbin	54	56	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-5	14	15.9	19.4	-3.53	14.1	16.8	-2.75
Dikembe Mutombo	82	85	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	17.2	18.5	-1.32	15.3	12.6	2.66
Mookie Blaylock	85	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	0	4	17.4	15.0	2.35	14.9	22.0	-7.13
Christian Laettner	80	82	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	4	-4	17.3	16.7	0.58	15.5	10.6	4.92
Steven Smith	69	72	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	2	0	16.2	21.2	-5.02	15.3	14.4	0.90
Jon Barry	22	21	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	2	0	20.4	16.2	4.12	15.5	15.0	0.48
Ivano Newbill	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	17.5	17.2	0.27	11.4	15.7	-4.36
Willie Burton	34	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.05	-5	9	-14	19.4	15.9	3.53	16.8	14.1	2.75

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duane Causwell	13	12	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-10	16	14.7	15.2	-0.49	15.3	17.6	-2.25
Corliss Williamson	43	42	0.04	-0.55	0.59	0.13	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.4	-0.70	16.5	17.9	-1.39
Michael Smith	28	25	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.28	10	-14	24	18.2	13.7	4.56	21.0	15.8	5.26
Lionel Simmons	14	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-2	0	10.9	15.9	-5.04	18.1	17.1	0.96
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	63	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-6	8	15.8	13.5	2.28	16.7	18.5	-1.86
Bobby Hurley	27	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	2	-8	13.5	15.8	-2.28	18.5	16.7	1.86
Billy Owens	44	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-4	4	16.2	14.0	2.23	19.1	15.5	3.61
Brian Grant	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	10	-24	13.7	18.2	-4.56	15.8	21.0	-5.26
Mitch Richmond	79	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	15.4	12.8	2.61	16.5	22.3	-5.86
Olden Polynice	77	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	6	-16	15.2	14.7	0.49	17.6	15.3	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, VAN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	90.4%
PHI 84, MIN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.26,0	89.7%
MIL 104, CHH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.16,0	89.3%