NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	8.5 [140]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +26.2%
Charlotte Hornets	97		Comeback	5.6 [110]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -45.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.26	0.05	0.20	-0.00	19	61%	0.40	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,0.07,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	21	60%	0.32	4	-0.24	6	100%	0.03
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.01	15	75%	0.31	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.13	-0.00	15	50%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.08
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Otis Thorpe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	8	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.04
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.46,-0.46	-0.46	-0.21	-0.27	-0.02	20	44%	-0.25	6	-0.20	15	87%	0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	32.3	19.6	26.6	2.7	39.3	149.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +71.8%

CHH -20.5%

CHH -4.9%

MIL +7.0%

CHH -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	13.7	16.8	15.5	109.5	103.2	100.9
season	14.9	15.8		105.9	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	11.8	14.6	13.6	15.3	13.7
CHH	15.5	16.0	20.0	16.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	87	86	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	0	7	13.4	17.0	-3.57	16.8	16.7	0.02
Glenn Robinson	77	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-3	13	13.3	15.6	-2.26	16.6	17.3	-0.70
Scott Williams	49	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-6	19	13.9	13.6	0.27	18.1	15.5	2.60
Ervin Johnson	76	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	-1	9	13.9	13.2	0.71	16.8	16.8	-0.06
Lindsey Hunter	21	20	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	5	-3	14.5	13.5	0.96	17.5	16.6	0.93
Darvin Ham	15	14	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	10	-13	15.0	13.5	1.51	17.6	16.6	1.03

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otis Thorpe	11	11	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-11	15	17.2	16.7	0.47	14.8	13.6	1.23
Elden Campbell	53	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-5	3	16.4	17.2	-0.76	13.6	13.9	-0.35
Jamaal Magloire	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-5	3	18.6	15.9	2.64	13.5	13.8	-0.28
Baron Davis	87	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	16.4	21.9	-5.50	13.8	12.2	1.61
Eddie Robinson	37	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-4	1	16.9	16.7	0.16	14.9	13.0	1.90
David Wesley	88	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	1	-9	16.8	16.0	0.82	13.6	14.7	-1.07
P.J. Brown	77	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	3	-13	16.5	18.0	-1.51	13.7	14.0	-0.34
Jamal Mashburn	87	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	16.9	15.7	1.14	13.3	18.4	-5.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 124, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.43,0.55,0.42,0	90.5%
UTA 106, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.27,0	90.3%
WAS 89, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.31,0	90.2%