NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	5.3 [735]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +11.2%
Atlanta Hawks	78		Comeback	3.4 [217]		LVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): -22.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	68%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	9	75%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	14	61%	0.07	4	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Joe Dumars	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	56%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	13	35%	-0.11	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.03	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	19	57%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Priest Lauderdale	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tyrone Corbin	0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.05	16	59%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	6	42%	-0.06	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Ken Norman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	9	17%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.06	0.00	11	37%	-0.07	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	26.4	17.3	26.6	5.7	26.2	127.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +10.0%

DET +13.6%

ATL -0.7%

DET +25.7%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.9	15.6	105.9	94.0	104.4
season	17.1	16.4		107.6	105.3
opponent	16.0	16.2		100.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.8	18.1	17.8	18.8	17.3
ATL	18.0	15.3	19.2	15.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.16	29	-17	46	16.9	19.1	-2.17	17.2	15.7	1.55
Otis Thorpe	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-6	24	17.4	16.5	0.93	17.6	11.1	6.44
Joe Dumars	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-4	20	17.4	17.0	0.40	17.1	16.2	0.81
Lindsey Hunter	44	43	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	6	0	17.8	16.8	1.04	16.2	17.7	-1.52
Grant Long	56	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	11	-10	17.4	17.3	0.10	17.2	16.5	0.66
Terry Mills	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	9	-6	17.6	17.2	0.42	15.6	17.9	-2.37
Michael Curry	29	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.38	-10	22	-32	17.4	17.3	0.11	15.6	17.6	-1.94
Stacey Augmon	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	9	-6	16.8	17.8	-1.02	18.1	15.9	2.19
Jerome Williams	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	19.0	17.3	1.74	11.0	17.2	-6.16

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	33	36	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.18	12	-24	36	15.2	18.1	-2.82	18.3	16.7	1.62
Ken Norman	28	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.10	7	-19	26	17.6	16.6	1.06	17.8	17.1	0.72
Ivano Newbill	27	27	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.22	9	-21	30	14.3	18.2	-3.86	18.5	16.8	1.67
Priest Lauderdale	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	11.2	17.3	-6.11	18.8	17.2	1.55
Eldridge Recasner	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	12.2	17.3	-5.15	19.8	17.2	2.68
Dikembe Mutombo	62	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	3	-18	18.3	13.0	5.21	17.4	17.2	0.14
Tyrone Corbin	45	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	-1	-10	16.8	17.1	-0.26	16.7	18.1	-1.36
Steven Smith	72	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.10	-24	12	-36	17.1	16.2	0.87	17.2	17.8	-0.60
Christian Laettner	71	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.06	-24	12	-36	17.3	14.6	2.75	17.0	19.2	-2.22
Mookie Blaylock	66	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	0.06	-26	14	-40	17.7	13.9	3.77	16.7	19.9	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIL 90, PHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
MIN 113, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%