NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	5.6 [707]		MVP	Greg Monroe (MIL): +5.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	82		Comeback	2.8 [738]		LVP	Justin Anderson (PHI): -18.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.01	14	57%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thon Maker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	15	49%	0.06	4	-0.13	11	55%	-0.05
Khris Middleton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	11	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	12	56%	0.04	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	12	27%	-0.15	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.8	29.5	15.3	24.4	2.3	32.5	126.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.7%

MIL +1.1%

PHI -3.0%

MIL +9.8%

MIL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	14.8	93.8	85.4	107.7
season	14.9	14.5		107.4	101.9
opponent	14.4	15.3		107.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	15.5	14.2	16.2	14.9
PHI	14.5	15.2	15.8	15.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	67	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-6	20	14.6	15.4	-0.74	15.1	15.1	-0.00
Tony Snell	66	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	14.6	15.4	-0.83	15.1	15.1	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	68	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	-2	12	14.4	16.1	-1.75	15.2	15.0	0.14
Giannis Antetokounmpo	82	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	2	4	14.8	15.5	-0.74	15.1	15.3	-0.21
Thon Maker	35	34	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	-4	16	13.2	15.8	-2.62	15.8	14.8	1.02
Greg Monroe	43	44	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	10	-12	15.8	14.1	1.72	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Jason Terry	34	36	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.16	-1	9	-10	15.6	14.4	1.21	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Mirza Teletovic	43	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	12	-16	15.4	14.4	1.00	15.2	15.1	0.12
Gary Payton II	24	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	13	-18	15.9	14.5	1.40	15.3	15.1	0.21
Spencer Hawes	18	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	10	-12	15.8	14.6	1.19	16.7	14.8	1.88

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	38	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-13	18	13.9	16.0	-2.10	15.6	14.4	1.28
Tiago Splitter	25	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-9	10	13.6	15.7	-2.13	16.6	14.3	2.24
Nik Stauskas	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-8	8	14.2	16.4	-2.28	15.6	13.9	1.64
Alex Poythress	49	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-5	2	14.1	16.2	-2.07	15.3	14.5	0.77
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-6	4	15.5	14.1	1.40	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Dario Saric	47	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	16.2	14.1	2.07	14.5	15.3	-0.77
T.J. McConnell	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	3	-14	15.6	13.8	1.86	14.2	16.7	-2.56
Richaun Holmes	71	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	1	-10	15.7	13.6	2.13	14.3	16.6	-2.24
Justin Anderson	56	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.10	-16	8	-24	15.8	14.1	1.69	14.9	14.9	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 124, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
CHI 102, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 112, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%