NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	11.6 [23]		MVP	Chris Whitney (WAS): +45.4%
Washington Bullets	96		Comeback	7.2 [97]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -59.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.18	-0.01	0.18	-0.00	28	50%	0.29	2	-0.12	6	100%	0.11
Danny Ferry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Vitaly Potapenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	59%	0.04	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Chris Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03	-0.10	0.05	-0.02	11	45%	0.09	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Geary	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carl Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	8	57%	0.01	3	-0.13	5	40%	-0.05
Bob Sura	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	6	75%	0.03	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.09	0.37	0.00	4	100%	0.48	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Fish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.37,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.16	-0.15	0.01	17	39%	-0.18	5	-0.14	4	25%	-0.05
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.32	-0.32	-0.11	-0.20	0.00	17	48%	-0.23	4	-0.09	10	50%	-0.07
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37,-0.47,-0.47,-0.54,-0.61,-0.7,-0.6	-0.60	-0.18	-0.43	-0.01	13	40%	-0.52	3	-0.08	14	43%	-0.23

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	28.3	16.4	28.4	2.6	42.2	1.7	23.8	170.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.9%

CLE +38.8%

CLE +12.9%

WAS -25.1%

WAS -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	18.3	14.0	15.6	100.0	97.0	104.4
season	17.8	14.8		102.1	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		103.3	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	18.8	18.2	19.0	17.7	16.7	18.3
WAS	14.0	13.1	13.1	15.7	15.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donny Marshall	27	28	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-9	20	19.0	18.0	1.07	14.7	13.8	0.89
Terrell Brandon	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	-1	4	18.2	18.4	-0.22	13.8	14.8	-1.05
Tyrone Hill	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	3	-4	18.6	17.9	0.67	14.6	13.4	1.17
Carl Thomas	26	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-7	16	20.0	17.6	2.41	14.4	13.9	0.47
Vitaly Potapenko	61	63	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	-5	12	17.8	19.1	-1.31	14.6	13.1	1.46
Chris Mills	69	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	7	-12	17.9	19.2	-1.39	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Danny Ferry	58	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-3	8	17.5	19.3	-1.79	13.5	14.7	-1.16
Bob Sura	72	73	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.38	-7	9	-16	17.6	20.0	-2.41	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Reggie Geary	23	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	3	-4	18.4	18.2	0.22	14.8	13.8	1.05
Mark West	28	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.13	-11	13	-24	20.5	17.4	3.18	13.1	14.4	-1.25

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Whitney	26	25	0.39	-0.89	1.27	0.27	4	-6	10	13.4	14.3	-0.84	18.0	18.4	-0.36
Tracy Murray	36	35	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.20	-3	1	-4	14.2	13.9	0.29	18.5	18.1	0.34
Ben Wallace	27	26	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	14.1	14.0	0.05	16.6	18.9	-2.25
Jaren Jackson	31	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.23	-8	6	-14	14.5	13.9	0.60	17.9	18.4	-0.53
Matt Fish	3	3	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	6.0	14.3	-8.29	17.0	18.3	-1.31
Chris Webber	74	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-2	2	14.6	12.4	2.14	18.5	17.3	1.22
Juwan Howard	85	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-5	8	13.6	16.5	-2.86	18.3	18.1	0.23
Calbert Cheaney	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.67	6	-8	14	13.9	14.5	-0.60	18.4	17.9	0.53
Rod Strickland	73	73	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.71	-6	4	-10	14.3	13.4	0.84	18.4	18.0	0.36
Harvey Grant	72	71	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.77	-6	4	-10	14.2	13.6	0.56	18.5	17.7	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.57,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 97, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.34,0.42,0	89.9%
LAL 110, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.58,0	87.8%
MIA 84, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,0	87.6%