NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	12.4 [15]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +50.7%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	4.8 [133]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -31.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.51	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.51	0.10	0.40	-0.01	10	65%	0.52	1	-0.01	11	64%	0.07
Jordan Farmar	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.17	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.00	14	69%	0.26	3	-0.17	7	57%	-0.11
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.00	13	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,-0.07,0.18,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31	-0.08	-0.22	0.01	29	42%	-0.14	3	-0.17	4	50%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.01	7	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.02	-0.00	10	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	16	47%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	12	62%	0.09	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.14	-0.01	21	51%	-0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.2,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.19	-0.00	8	12%	-0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.12,-0.3	-0.30	-0.03	-0.25	0.01	13	54%	0.01	5	-0.31	13	77%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.8	3.6	34.3	19.7	32.3	3.6	38.0	2.5	14.2	173.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.6%

LAL +14.8%

BOS -25.2%

LAL +1.1%

LAL +11.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.3	15.5	111.1	106.9	106.4
season	14.9	15.8		110.6	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.7	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.9	14.0	14.8	17.0	17.8	15.3
BOS	13.3	15.3	18.6	17.3	19.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	86	89	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.50	8	-7	15	15.4	14.8	0.57	16.0	18.2	-2.14
Derek Fisher	77	79	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.60	1	0	1	15.5	14.9	0.56	15.5	19.1	-3.62
Kobe Bryant	84	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.62	-3	4	-7	15.6	13.7	1.98	15.7	19.6	-3.89
Lamar Odom	64	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-7	15	15.8	14.6	1.19	17.2	14.5	2.74
Sasha Vujacic	31	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	2	-3	15.0	15.5	-0.50	18.4	15.3	3.14
Luke Walton	55	57	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	0	1	15.0	15.7	-0.73	15.0	17.9	-2.95
Chris Mihm	5	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	6	-11	15.8	15.3	0.48	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Trevor Ariza	20	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.15	2	-1	3	14.5	15.5	-0.99	17.6	16.0	1.70
Jordan Farmar	22	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	1	-1	14.9	15.5	-0.56	19.1	15.5	3.62
Josh Powell	43	43	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	8	-15	14.5	16.0	-1.47	15.6	16.8	-1.13

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	68	67	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.04	9	-10	19	15.1	18.7	-3.68	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Leon Powe	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-3	5	18.8	15.3	3.55	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Tony Allen	20	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	0	-1	17.4	16.0	1.39	14.2	15.7	-1.46
Kendrick Perkins	69	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	3	-7	15.2	18.5	-3.25	15.8	14.4	1.38
Eddie House	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-7	13	18.5	15.0	3.50	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Ray Allen	91	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.56	6	-7	13	15.8	20.5	-4.67	15.8	12.2	3.61
Rajon Rondo	72	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.48	-1	0	-1	15.2	18.9	-3.71	15.8	14.3	1.46
Paul Pierce	87	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	8	-17	16.3	16.0	0.33	15.0	17.4	-2.42
Glen Davis	37	36	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.32	-13	12	-25	18.9	14.8	4.13	15.5	15.2	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 128, PHI 122	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.81,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.27,0	88.4%
LAL 103, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.55,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.42,0	88.3%
TOR 113, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.53,0.58,0.45,0.65,0.47,0.39,0.27,0.55,0.27,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.69,0.42,0	88.3%