NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	3.6 [578]		MVP	Zaccharie Risacher (ATL): +8.7%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	1.0 [644]		LVP	Jeremiah Fears (NOP): -11.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yves Missi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Micah Peavy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zion Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	15	59%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	29%	-0.02
Karlo Matkovi?	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.09	15	57%	-0.00	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	18	57%	-0.02	4	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derik Queen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.00	11	39%	-0.07	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.00	0.07	13	83%	0.13	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.09	6	108%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzi??is	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	18	49%	0.08	6	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Keaton Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asa Newell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	10	43%	0.05	5	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
V�t Krej?�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	18	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.3	27.0	0.0	31.4	0.0	29.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.0%

NOP -2.6%

ATL +2.1%

ATL +3.1%

ATL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ATL	NBA	NOP	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.6	14.2	93.5	108.3	113.4
season	14.2	13.2		110.9	113.0
opponent	14.4	14.0		113.3	117.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.1	13.8	13.3	11.2	13.2
ATL	11.5	12.9	12.0	18.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-13	9	11.7	13.4	-1.69	13.1	13.6	-0.56
Karlo Matkovi?	62	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-1	-15	13.1	13.2	-0.13	13.5	13.8	-0.32
Derik Queen	56	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	0	-17	14.6	11.6	2.98	11.8	15.4	-3.57
Zion Williamson	79	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-9	1	13.6	11.8	1.82	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Jordan Hawkins	89	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	2	-21	13.0	13.9	-0.87	13.5	14.1	-0.57
Yves Missi	106	106	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	-2	-13	13.1	16.0	-2.86	13.6	11.0	2.63
Jeremiah Fears	106	106	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	-2	-13	13.1	16.0	-2.86	13.6	11.0	2.63
Micah Peavy	105	106	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	-2	-13	13.1	17.0	-3.90	13.6	11.0	2.63
Bryce McGowens	92	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-3	-11	13.7	10.1	3.61	13.6	13.1	0.51
Jordan Poole	93	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	-2	-13	13.7	9.9	3.81	12.7	20.5	-7.78

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
V�t Krej?�	100	99	0.52	-0.01	0.53	-0.07	20	-3	23	13.7	12.5	1.17	13.1	14.0	-0.90
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	108	107	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	13.6	0.0	13.58	13.2	0.0	13.17
Mouhamed Gueye	98	98	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	0	17	13.7	12.3	1.41	12.8	16.9	-4.06
Kristaps Porzi??is	93	92	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	4	9	12.9	18.1	-5.21	12.9	14.6	-1.67
Luke Kennard	86	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-1	19	12.4	18.1	-5.72	12.9	14.0	-1.10
Jalen Johnson	96	93	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	8	1	13.7	12.5	1.22	13.6	10.5	3.07
Zaccharie Risacher	80	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	11	-5	12.8	15.7	-2.88	13.7	11.7	1.98
Dyson Daniels	91	89	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	8	1	13.5	13.9	-0.35	13.5	11.4	2.14
Keaton Wallace	28	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	6	5	11.5	14.3	-2.86	14.0	12.9	1.06
Asa Newell	18	17	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	16	-15	13.7	13.6	0.17	11.5	13.5	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ORL 86, OKC 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
NJN 93, SAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%