NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	4.4 [907]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +12.3%
Houston Rockets	121		Comeback	1.8 [941]		LVP	Caris LeVert (ATL): -6.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terance Mann	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	16	53%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	71%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Georges Niang	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Dyson Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.10	14	63%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	14	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.02	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	24	60%	0.19	5	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	12	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	87%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	14	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	19	45%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.0	30.0	14.8	32.5	2.0	34.2	141.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.6%

HOU +3.8%

ATL -0.3%

HOU +6.2%

HOU +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	12.6	15.0	14.4	108.6	116.3	113.1
season	13.2	14.8		113.0	113.9
opponent	14.3	14.5		109.7	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.9	12.6	14.0	10.9	12.6
HOU	13.3	15.7	13.7	17.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-3	-1	14.5	12.3	2.18	13.4	15.2	-1.85
Zaccharie Risacher	51	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-13	19	12.5	12.8	-0.31	15.4	14.6	0.81
Vit Krejci	25	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.25	6	-13	19	11.7	12.9	-1.22	16.6	14.4	2.21
Mouhamed Gueye	20	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-3	-1	14.0	12.3	1.78	12.6	15.6	-2.94
Dyson Daniels	77	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-17	27	12.6	12.7	-0.19	15.5	13.3	2.21
Caris LeVert	42	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	0	-7	12.8	12.5	0.25	15.5	14.6	0.84
Dominick Barlow	21	19	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	4	-15	13.3	12.4	0.90	14.6	15.0	-0.47
Onyeka Okongwu	84	85	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.37	4	-11	15	12.4	13.3	-0.90	15.0	14.6	0.47
Georges Niang	51	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	3	-13	11.8	13.4	-1.57	14.6	15.3	-0.70
Terance Mann	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	0	-7	12.5	12.7	-0.16	15.5	14.4	1.15
Trae Young	87	86	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	11	-29	12.8	11.6	1.27	14.2	18.7	-4.55

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	49	53	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.06	19	-12	31	16.1	13.9	2.23	13.5	11.7	1.70
Fred VanVleet	83	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-6	19	14.4	17.2	-2.85	13.6	8.8	4.85
Jabari Smith Jr.	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	3	1	15.9	13.0	2.87	12.0	13.9	-1.90
Jalen Green	88	88	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	3	1	14.8	15.9	-1.08	12.6	12.6	-0.04
Aaron Holiday	23	25	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	-3	13	14.7	15.0	-0.29	11.6	12.9	-1.27
Alperen Sengun	83	80	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	12	-17	15.3	13.4	1.92	12.1	14.2	-2.14
Tari Eason	58	58	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.27	-8	15	-23	14.3	15.8	-1.55	12.0	13.4	-1.36
Dillon Brooks	65	66	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	9	-11	14.2	16.2	-1.95	12.8	12.2	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 90, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DET 113, DEN 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1	94.6%
CLE 91, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.98,1	94.5%