NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	5.8 [641]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +19.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	1.3 [760]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -19.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.00	0.03	22	59%	0.17	3	-0.06	12	83%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	45%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	13	68%	0.14	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.02	12	12%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.01	20	71%	0.25	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	5	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	82%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.02
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	9	68%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bronny James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Reaves	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	18	48%	0.05	6	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	17	44%	0.01	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	27.4	14.6	29.2	2.5	26.5	130.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +50.8%

ATL -0.0%

LAL +18.2%

ATL -20.5%

LAL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAL	NBA	ATL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.1	16.1	14.4	103.0	121.4	113.1
season	13.2	15.0		113.0	114.1
opponent	14.3	14.5		113.3	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.5	13.9	13.7	12.3	13.1
LAL	14.2	15.5	14.0	22.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Roddy	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	8.7	13.3	-4.56	17.7	16.1	1.58
Dominick Barlow	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	8.7	13.3	-4.56	17.7	16.1	1.58
Garrison Mathews	31	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-11	5	12.6	13.4	-0.79	18.3	15.2	3.04
Zaccharie Risacher	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-9	1	13.5	12.7	0.71	15.3	17.1	-1.81
Onyeka Okongwu	50	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-10	3	12.3	13.9	-1.62	17.5	14.9	2.60
Clint Capela	45	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-9	1	14.4	12.1	2.34	14.7	17.5	-2.79
Bogdan Bogdanovic	46	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-11	5	13.1	13.2	-0.10	17.3	15.1	2.17
Jalen Johnson	71	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-9	1	12.6	14.4	-1.82	15.2	18.4	-3.16
Trae Young	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-9	1	12.7	14.6	-1.93	15.9	17.0	-1.08
De'Andre Hunter	54	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-6	-5	13.6	12.6	0.96	16.9	15.3	1.60
Dyson Daniels	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	2	-21	14.2	11.3	2.91	15.6	17.1	-1.44

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.01	17	0	17	15.7	17.7	-1.95	13.8	10.9	2.93
Austin Reaves	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.04	18	-1	19	16.4	15.1	1.34	13.2	12.7	0.52
Dorian Finney-Smith	46	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	5	7	17.0	15.4	1.55	12.7	13.5	-0.84
LeBron James	63	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	13	-9	15.6	17.1	-1.53	12.9	13.5	-0.54
Max Christie	67	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.09	14	3	11	15.7	17.2	-1.50	14.0	11.5	2.47
Rui Hachimura	51	49	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	7	3	15.3	17.1	-1.79	14.4	11.9	2.51
Dalton Knecht	30	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	11	-5	16.2	16.1	0.10	12.9	13.2	-0.27
Shake Milton	28	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	16	-15	15.5	16.4	-0.84	12.5	13.4	-0.97
Cam Reddish	25	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	16	-15	18.6	15.3	3.31	11.3	13.8	-2.46
Jaxson Hayes	21	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	17	-17	17.7	15.7	1.95	10.9	13.8	-2.93
Bronny James	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	15	-13	17.7	16.1	1.58	8.7	13.3	-4.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 98, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CLE 88, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.76,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DAL 89, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%