NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	5.1 [778]		MVP	Todd Day (PHX): +6.3%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	1.5 [1087]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): -23.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Hendrickson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	9	55%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.04
Cedric Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	56%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Person	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	0.00	0.02	8	45%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Shawn Kemp	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.05	0.04	15	53%	-0.08	7	-0.16	8	50%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	9	73%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	13	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Toby Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	53%	0.01	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.05	11	43%	-0.04	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.4	27.3	14.8	26.1	2.5	34.3	136.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +13.7%

PHX +25.6%

PHX +8.2%

PHX +2.1%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	15.2	90.7	104.1	101.7
season	14.1	14.8		98.0	101.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		96.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.9	14.2	15.4	12.9	14.1
PHX	14.9	16.4	15.2	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	13.0	14.1	-1.07	21.5	15.5	5.99
Wesley Person	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-14	15	13.5	14.1	-0.63	13.3	15.9	-2.66
Mark Bryant	43	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-16	19	14.4	13.8	0.68	16.3	15.1	1.18
Lamond Murray	50	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-10	7	13.3	14.9	-1.53	16.7	14.5	2.17
Brevin Knight	61	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.29	5	-18	23	13.7	14.6	-0.92	16.8	13.6	3.21
Danny Ferry	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-7	1	14.0	14.1	-0.03	16.1	15.5	0.66
Andre Miller	47	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	2	-17	14.0	14.1	-0.16	13.9	17.2	-3.26
Andrew DeClercq	42	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	2	-17	13.5	14.5	-1.07	14.8	16.2	-1.44
Shawn Kemp	73	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-1	-11	14.5	12.8	1.69	14.8	18.4	-3.54
Cedric Henderson	61	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	14.4	13.5	0.85	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Bob Sura	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	1	-15	14.5	12.9	1.58	16.2	14.0	2.22

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	61	62	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.03	25	-12	37	14.9	16.9	-2.09	14.2	13.9	0.32
Oliver Miller	45	44	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	1	11	14.6	16.5	-1.88	14.8	13.4	1.38
Jason Kidd	73	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.01	17	-4	21	15.8	15.1	0.72	14.0	14.4	-0.45
Todd Day	24	27	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	1	11	15.5	15.7	-0.12	14.9	13.7	1.15
Clifford Robinson	72	74	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	2	9	15.6	15.8	-0.28	14.2	13.6	0.59
Tom Gugliotta	77	75	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	13	-13	16.1	14.0	2.05	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Toby Bailey	15	15	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	16	-19	18.4	15.1	3.28	13.5	14.2	-0.63
Luc Longley	33	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	20	-27	17.3	14.8	2.49	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Randy Livingston	26	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	22	-31	15.1	15.8	-0.75	14.5	13.9	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.76,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 86, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 77, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
UTA 81, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%