inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 81 Excitement4.2 [957] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +12.0%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback1.4 [1109] LVPKarl Malone (UTA): -15.1%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Ostertag0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.011164%0.072-0.06367%-0.01
Carlos Arroyo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04250%0.0020.0000%0.00
John Amaechi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Massenburg-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Harpring-0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.031064%0.065-0.082100%0.00
Scott Padgett-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.09-0.00-0.07621%-0.001-0.02250%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01367%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.01650%-0.041-0.014100%0.02
John Stockton-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.03856%-0.012-0.062100%0.01
Mark Jackson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.02250%-0.023-0.05250%-0.01
Karl Malone-0.150,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.05-0.031532%-0.092-0.06475%-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.040.012264%0.193-0.07367%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.02979%0.122-0.051100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.021265%0.092-0.0520%-0.02
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01557%0.0010.00475%0.00
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Speedy Claxton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.031040%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.04217%-0.002-0.05250%-0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00538%-0.021-0.043100%0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01656%-0.014-0.05475%0.01
David Robinson0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.010.04850%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.0120%-0.042-0.0410%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.428.416.526.31.727.4127.1
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +30.2%
SAS +2.6%
SAS +10.9%
SAS +5.6%
SAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTASASNBAUTASASNBA
this game15.916.515.592.0112.2101.6
season16.315.7103.1102.5
opponent15.415.396.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.015.617.014.015.9
SAS15.815.716.417.916.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scott Padgett28270.03-0.530.56-0.208-283612.417.5-5.1419.115.33.74
Carlos Arroyo13130.00-0.500.50-0.2910-304011.716.6-4.9320.415.84.59
John Amaechi770.00-0.500.50-0.124-242810.716.3-5.6320.016.23.84
Matt Harpring5556-0.09-0.410.330.21-10-10017.114.03.0815.917.3-1.35
Tony Massenburg2627-0.14-0.360.230.07-7-13613.017.1-4.1715.916.7-0.76
John Stockton5153-0.23-0.270.050.27-17-3-1417.413.83.5515.318.1-2.76
Mark Jackson2424-0.27-0.23-0.050.11-13-7-615.016.2-1.2316.816.30.52
DeShawn Stevenson2930-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-7-614.316.7-2.4217.815.82.02
Calbert Cheaney4041-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-9-216.715.21.5615.217.5-2.32
Andrei Kirilenko5758-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.00-11-9-215.217.1-1.8516.616.20.42
Karl Malone5457-0.43-0.07-0.370.24-233-2617.812.94.9616.117.1-1.05
Greg Ostertag5657-0.45-0.05-0.400.05-17-3-1417.613.04.6016.017.3-1.34

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bruce Bowen56540.500.000.50-0.031821615.617.9-2.2517.313.73.52
Tony Parker52520.460.040.42-0.132002015.817.3-1.4417.413.73.78
Tim Duncan59580.450.050.41-0.051731415.917.5-1.6217.313.24.09
Manu Ginobili49480.440.060.37-0.152002015.617.4-1.8116.914.72.24
Malik Rose40390.250.250.01-0.3922-22416.116.7-0.6416.115.80.28
David Robinson45430.150.35-0.19-0.341731415.517.4-1.9815.915.90.06
Kevin Willis23240.140.36-0.220.31-626-3218.215.92.3714.416.5-2.04
Stephen Jackson39400.060.44-0.38-0.32137616.116.7-0.6215.716.1-0.41
Speedy Claxton38360.040.46-0.420.04020-2017.315.81.4413.717.4-3.78
Steven Smith20190.000.50-0.490.09-323-2618.815.83.0112.916.7-3.83
Steve Kerr16150.000.50-0.500.23-828-3619.915.74.1612.116.7-4.54
Danny Ferry13120.000.50-0.500.29-1030-4020.415.84.5911.516.6-5.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 77, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
MIL 111, PHX 1230.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
PHI 89, SAC 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%