NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	120		Excitement	4.4 [919]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +12.2%
Denver Nuggets	139		Comeback	1.6 [810]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): -9.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.05	14	61%	0.12	2	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Vit Krejci	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	12	56%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	7	71%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.02	8	53%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Trae Young	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.16	17	65%	0.01	4	-0.08	12	83%	-0.02
Clint Capela	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Dyson Daniels	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	17	26%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	-0.00	0.03	14	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	9	79%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	6	94%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	14	60%	0.10	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Julian Strawther	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Hunter Tyson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.08	16	61%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	26.5	14.5	29.7	1.7	26.6	127.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +47.0%

DEN +11.5%

ATL -7.9%

ATL -4.6%

DEN +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DEN	NBA	ATL	DEN	NBA
this game	12.8	13.5	14.4	108.1	128.7	113.1
season	13.2	14.1		113.0	118.3
opponent	14.6	14.5		114.8	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.2	12.4	14.7	11.1	12.8
DEN	13.4	12.0	12.4	16.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Roddy	39	38	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.09	5	-24	29	11.7	13.4	-1.71	15.3	12.5	2.87
Dominick Barlow	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-22	25	12.5	12.9	-0.35	16.5	13.2	3.26
Vit Krejci	64	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-22	25	12.8	12.9	-0.15	13.4	13.5	-0.09
De'Andre Hunter	61	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-9	-1	12.4	13.3	-0.89	12.8	14.4	-1.55
Onyeka Okongwu	54	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-10	1	12.4	13.2	-0.86	14.1	12.8	1.33
Clint Capela	49	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	-6	-7	13.4	12.4	0.96	12.2	14.5	-2.28
Dyson Daniels	69	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-2	-15	13.3	12.0	1.33	13.4	13.7	-0.30
Zaccharie Risacher	70	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	-2	-15	13.5	11.7	1.86	14.7	11.5	3.25
Garrison Mathews	68	65	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	-4	-11	12.8	12.8	-0.01	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Trae Young	73	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.21	-25	6	-31	12.7	13.1	-0.42	12.3	15.7	-3.38

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	67	69	0.72	-0.22	0.95	-0.19	31	-12	43	12.1	15.7	-3.63	13.7	11.4	2.29
Michael Porter Jr.	56	56	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.15	24	-5	29	12.9	14.1	-1.19	13.6	12.1	1.50
Christian Braun	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.21	23	-4	27	12.9	14.6	-1.65	13.1	12.3	0.78
Russell Westbrook	58	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.27	24	-5	29	12.4	14.7	-2.34	13.7	11.8	1.94
Jamal Murray	81	84	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	8	3	13.5	13.6	-0.10	12.5	13.9	-1.35
Julian Strawther	68	68	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	15	-11	13.8	12.9	0.92	12.6	13.1	-0.51
Jalen Pickett	28	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	23	-27	14.7	13.0	1.71	12.0	13.2	-1.19
Hunter Tyson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	16.5	13.2	3.26	12.5	12.9	-0.35
Spencer Jones	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	18.0	13.2	4.78	12.0	12.9	-0.88
Zeke Nnaji	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	18.0	13.2	4.78	12.0	12.9	-0.88
Peyton Watson	54	56	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	16	-13	14.0	13.0	0.96	12.1	13.5	-1.38
DeAndre Jordan	35	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.05	-6	25	-31	15.3	12.6	2.75	11.3	13.5	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ORL 90, BKN 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 90, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%