NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	119		Excitement	12.4 [12]		MVP	Alex Caruso (CHI): +35.9%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	6.6 [482]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): -25.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Caruso	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.29,0.36	0.07	0.28	-0.01	8	83%	0.50	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Coby White	0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34	0.12	0.22	-0.00	18	68%	0.38	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.17	-0.09	0.02	19	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Dalen Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	40%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Torrey Craig	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.08	-0.03	14	39%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	8	0%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25	0.07	-0.30	0.03	24	54%	-0.21	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.14	-0.00	9	65%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.15	-0.01	0.13	-0.03	10	60%	0.22	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.59,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	30	56%	0.49	4	-0.42	12	92%	0.13
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	3	67%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	4	67%	-0.00	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.16,0.16,-0.14	-0.14	0.04	-0.17	0.01	21	60%	0.19	4	-0.33	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	10	48%	-0.00	6	-0.20	3	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	27.3	15.5	28.3	3.4	32.3	2.4	18.2	154.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +72.6%

NYK +1.9%

NYK +59.2%

CHI -79.7%

CHI -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	16.4	14.5	112.3	114.3	113.9
season	14.5	15.6		113.4	117.0
opponent	14.4	15.0		112.4	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	13.7	14.0	13.2	16.7	9.9	13.8
NYK	17.7	14.8	16.8	17.6	14.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	34	32	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-3	5	13.4	14.0	-0.58	16.6	16.3	0.35
Dalen Terry	46	48	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.13	9	-10	19	13.2	14.2	-0.98	17.3	15.6	1.75
Jevon Carter	33	31	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	0	-1	13.8	13.8	0.02	15.6	16.7	-1.14
DeMar DeRozan	89	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-1	1	13.4	15.6	-2.23	16.5	15.9	0.52
Coby White	87	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-2	3	14.0	12.5	1.52	16.4	16.4	0.00
Javonte Green	75	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.56	0	-1	1	14.0	13.2	0.87	16.1	17.2	-1.15
Alex Caruso	83	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	7	-15	13.4	15.1	-1.73	16.5	16.0	0.54
Nikola Vucevic	83	83	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.52	-8	7	-15	14.5	11.2	3.26	16.1	17.3	-1.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	86	87	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-7	15	15.9	18.6	-2.75	13.8	13.6	0.24
Donte DiVincenzo	104	105	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-2	5	16.4	12.0	4.42	13.7	17.0	-3.26
Jalen Brunson	81	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	0	1	16.6	15.7	0.93	13.4	15.2	-1.84
Isaiah Hartenstein	59	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-11	23	16.3	16.5	-0.13	15.4	11.6	3.82
Josh Hart	79	79	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.46	-4	5	-9	16.7	15.3	1.38	13.6	14.3	-0.70
Precious Achiuwa	39	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	3	-5	15.0	17.2	-2.20	11.9	15.0	-3.17
Miles McBride	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	4	-7	15.6	16.7	-1.10	14.8	13.4	1.42
Bojan Bogdanovic	34	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	3	-5	17.4	15.9	1.48	14.1	13.6	0.42
Mitchell Robinson	15	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	9	-17	19.1	15.9	3.13	12.9	13.9	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.63,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.91,1	89.7%
LAL 109, SAC 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	89.3%
SAS 82, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.69,0.85,1	88.9%