NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	120		Excitement	7.6 [330]		MVP	Jarrett Allen (CLE): +25.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	129		Comeback	1.1 [869]		LVP	Ben Sheppard (IND): -3.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	8	71%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Pascal Siakam	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	15	56%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	14	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	70%	0.19	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.10	0.00	11	61%	0.04	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.07	0.01	14	81%	0.38	2	-0.12	8	37%	-0.08
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.18	-0.01	11	73%	0.31	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.02	0.00	27	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	4	64%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Max Strus	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	10	30%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	25.6	15.3	29.4	2.5	31.5	131.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.6%

IND -3.0%

CLE +17.0%

CLE +0.6%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	12.6	15.5	14.5	116.5	126.5	113.9
season	13.7	14.8		120.0	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		111.3	117.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	12.6	11.6	13.6	12.6
CLE	14.7	16.9	14.6	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	15	14	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-12	15	13.2	12.5	0.65	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Obi Toppin	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-12	15	12.2	12.9	-0.62	15.0	15.7	-0.76
T.J. McConnell	44	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-10	11	13.0	12.3	0.71	14.2	16.3	-2.10
Jalen Smith	44	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-10	11	13.0	12.3	0.71	14.2	16.3	-2.10
Ben Sheppard	31	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-7	5	12.9	12.5	0.38	14.8	15.7	-0.90
Aaron Nesmith	70	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	12.4	13.2	-0.75	15.5	15.3	0.24
Myles Turner	59	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	1	-11	12.3	13.0	-0.71	16.3	14.2	2.10
Tyrese Haliburton	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	2	-13	12.5	13.0	-0.44	15.9	14.1	1.82
Andrew Nembhard	74	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	1	-11	12.5	12.9	-0.40	16.0	14.1	1.94
Pascal Siakam	68	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	3	-15	12.9	12.2	0.62	15.7	15.0	0.76

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Strus	60	59	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.10	17	-8	25	15.9	14.8	1.08	12.2	13.3	-1.14
Donovan Mitchell	79	81	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-3	15	15.7	14.7	0.94	12.5	13.3	-0.80
Darius Garland	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	6	-3	15.9	14.8	1.08	12.4	13.0	-0.69
Caris LeVert	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-2	13	14.6	16.6	-2.01	12.7	12.5	0.19
Jarrett Allen	81	82	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	1	7	15.7	14.7	0.95	12.3	13.9	-1.59
Georges Niang	55	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	7	-5	15.5	15.5	-0.03	13.2	12.0	1.18
Evan Mobley	61	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	12	-15	15.9	14.9	0.95	12.9	12.3	0.60
Isaac Okoro	56	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	14	-19	14.4	16.7	-2.31	13.3	11.9	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.84,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.9%
BKN 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.92,1	93.8%
NYK 79, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.97,0.85,0.84,0.73,1	93.3%