NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	102		Excitement	9.9 [84]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): +47.6%
Brooklyn Nets	106		Comeback	3.9 [677]		LVP	Garrett Temple (TOR): -33.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.48	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.02,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.48	0.08	0.36	-0.04	24	57%	0.62	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.07
Gradey Dick	0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.12	-0.02	20	60%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Javon Freeman-Liberty	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ochai Agbaji	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Nwora	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mouhamadou Gueye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Williams	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	10	35%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.33	-0.10	-0.23	0.01	6	25%	-0.15	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,0.09,0.15,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.38	0.38	0.05	0.34	0.00	18	51%	0.43	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.08
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	7	78%	0.22	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.08
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	8	65%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	8	62%	0.23	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Cam Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.10	-0.03	22	48%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	28.2	14.5	27.2	2.5	42.5	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +25.1%

BKN +8.7%

BKN +27.9%

TOR -13.0%

BKN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	14.5	107.4	111.6	113.9
season	14.0	14.8		111.3	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		114.7	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.7	15.2	15.0	16.4	15.3
BKN	14.1	14.8	15.6	15.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javon Freeman-Liberty	48	48	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-6	8	15.1	15.6	-0.45	14.7	15.3	-0.57
Jalen McDaniels	26	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	14.7	15.6	-0.87	15.1	14.9	0.22
Mouhamadou Gueye	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	0	-4	15.2	15.4	-0.24	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Malik Williams	47	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-4	4	15.9	14.8	1.08	16.2	13.9	2.34
Jordan Nwora	37	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	2	-8	14.3	16.0	-1.64	13.5	16.0	-2.46
Immanuel Quickley	67	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-9	14	15.1	15.9	-0.80	15.3	14.4	0.88
Gradey Dick	68	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-2	0	15.4	15.3	0.09	15.0	15.0	0.03
Ochai Agbaji	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	0	-4	15.7	14.3	1.44	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Garrett Temple	69	70	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.32	-11	7	-18	15.8	14.2	1.61	15.2	14.5	0.64

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Clowney	73	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-1	6	15.4	13.8	1.58	15.6	14.3	1.26
Dennis Schroder	70	73	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-1	6	14.6	16.0	-1.37	15.8	13.7	2.08
Cameron Johnson	51	50	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	-2	8	15.5	14.5	1.00	15.6	15.1	0.49
Cam Thomas	75	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.39	-2	6	-8	15.2	14.0	1.19	14.5	17.9	-3.36
Nic Claxton	67	66	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.46	-7	11	-18	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.1	15.9	-0.87
Jalen Wilson	41	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	1	2	14.1	15.7	-1.57	14.7	15.8	-1.08
Trendon Watford	32	29	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	1	2	15.5	14.7	0.77	15.4	15.3	0.13
Day'Ron Sharpe	21	23	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.13	6	-2	8	13.7	15.4	-1.64	16.4	15.0	1.41
Mikal Bridges	45	47	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.12	1	3	-2	14.9	15.0	-0.11	15.5	15.2	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.29,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, NOP 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.58,1	92.4%
NOP 119, DAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.24,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	92.2%
POR 91, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.74,1	91.7%