NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	8.2 [205]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +13.9%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	4.2 [446]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -32.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.17	0.04	16	58%	0.21	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	4	80%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Darius Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Eddie Gill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	2	70%	-0.00	1	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,-0.06,-0.32	-0.00	-0.33	-0.00	17	53%	-0.26	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.00	6	53%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.04
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13	0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.01	22	47%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.11
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	87%	0.18	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	22	57%	0.21	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	8	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	0.7	32.3	17.5	21.8	2.7	33.5	129.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.7%

POR -8.1%

NYK +11.7%

POR -1.7%

NYK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.6	15.9	15.7	105.8	107.0	100.5
season	17.1	15.5		101.5	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.8	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.6	17.8	16.0	19.2	17.6
NYK	13.7	17.3	15.3	17.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	14	15	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-8	15	18.4	17.4	0.98	20.9	14.8	6.12
Ruben Patterson	30	29	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-3	5	18.7	17.0	1.73	16.8	15.4	1.37
Eddie Gill	20	19	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.08	0	-1	1	18.3	17.4	0.97	19.0	15.0	4.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-2	3	17.9	17.5	0.44	18.7	14.5	4.18
Derek Anderson	81	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-1	1	17.5	18.8	-1.27	16.2	10.4	5.82
Damon Stoudamire	66	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.51	1	-2	3	17.4	18.3	-0.97	15.2	18.6	-3.45
Zach Randolph	60	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	3	-7	17.6	17.5	0.15	14.7	18.6	-3.92
Darius Miles	58	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	3	-7	16.9	19.0	-2.07	14.6	18.5	-3.88
Theo Ratliff	72	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	7	-15	17.4	18.4	-0.98	14.8	20.9	-6.12

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	48	49	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-13	27	16.3	15.4	0.92	18.7	16.2	2.48
Stephon Marbury	80	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-3	7	15.4	22.2	-6.75	17.8	15.7	2.06
Kurt Thomas	68	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-3	7	15.1	18.8	-3.66	17.4	18.2	-0.78
Tim Thomas	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	0	1	15.2	20.0	-4.85	17.8	16.2	1.67
Vin Baker	25	25	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.57	-6	7	-13	20.2	14.1	6.03	17.9	17.5	0.44
DerMarr Johnson	18	18	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	-2	5	16.8	15.6	1.20	17.1	17.7	-0.69
Nazr Mohammed	61	61	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.10	7	-6	13	14.1	20.2	-6.03	17.5	17.9	-0.44
Michael Sweetney	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	4	-7	18.8	15.1	3.66	18.2	17.4	0.78
Shandon Anderson	39	38	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	0.10	-19	20	-39	17.3	14.7	2.56	15.7	19.1	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 94, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.72,1	92.3%
MIN 97, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.24,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.72,1	92.3%
CHH 93, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.19,0.44,0.73,1	92.3%