NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	7.9 [277]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +50.5%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	37.2 [18]		LVP	Bruno Fernando (ATL): -13.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.51	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.51	0.05	0.47	0.01	14	60%	0.55	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Grant Williams	0.28	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.20	0.02	6	100%	0.36	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.07
Brandon Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.00	17	71%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Nick Richards	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bryce McGowens	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Marques Bolden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.02	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	11	79%	0.16	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	117%	0.17	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.17,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.08	-0.02	5	55%	0.33	2	-0.24	1	0%	-0.04
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	7	86%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	14	68%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bufkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	12	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	3	42%	-0.09	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	23.0	14.6	27.5	1.5	34.2	128.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -7.0%

CHA +39.0%

ATL -13.9%

CHA +31.7%

CHA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.6	14.5	117.3	114.0	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		108.3	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.5		118.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.1	14.3	14.0	12.5	13.5
ATL	15.6	15.7	14.8	16.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aleksej Pokusevski	51	51	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.51	5	-4	9	13.3	13.7	-0.37	16.5	14.7	1.78
Grant Williams	53	55	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.61	-1	2	-3	14.2	12.6	1.53	14.9	16.4	-1.45
Tre Mann	75	78	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.52	2	-1	3	12.9	15.3	-2.34	15.7	15.1	0.65
Brandon Miller	71	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	0	1	13.6	13.2	0.34	14.7	17.6	-2.86
Miles Bridges	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.59	-9	10	-19	14.1	12.4	1.62	14.8	16.9	-2.17
Davis Bertans	36	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	-9	19	12.4	14.1	-1.62	16.9	14.8	2.17
JT Thor	36	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	-9	19	12.4	14.1	-1.62	16.9	14.8	2.17
Bryce McGowens	16	17	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	2	-3	14.6	13.2	1.38	16.4	15.4	0.91
Marques Bolden	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	0	1	12.7	13.5	-0.75	19.0	15.4	3.58
Nick Richards	41	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	0	1	12.6	14.1	-1.44	16.1	15.3	0.79
Vasilije Micic	45	46	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.02	-14	15	-29	14.8	12.3	2.54	14.3	16.7	-2.40

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	66	62	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.07	14	-15	29	15.3	16.1	-0.74	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Trae Young	45	43	0.46	-0.96	1.43	-0.01	16	-17	33	15.0	16.1	-1.05	13.2	13.7	-0.42
Clint Capela	45	44	0.42	-0.92	1.35	0.01	14	-15	29	14.2	16.8	-2.59	14.8	12.4	2.49
Bogdan Bogdanovic	46	45	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.02	12	-13	25	14.3	16.7	-2.40	14.8	12.3	2.54
Mouhamed Gueye	34	35	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-1	1	16.8	15.0	1.85	13.2	13.6	-0.46
Vit Krejci	71	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.47	-5	4	-9	15.2	16.5	-1.24	13.7	12.9	0.76
Kobe Bufkin	47	48	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.58	-9	8	-17	16.0	15.3	0.71	13.7	13.2	0.55
Bruno Fernando	51	49	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.47	-14	13	-27	16.9	14.3	2.58	12.1	14.8	-2.73
Trent Forrest	39	39	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.54	-13	12	-25	16.6	15.0	1.58	13.5	13.4	0.11
Dylan Windler	56	56	-1.01	0.51	-1.51	-0.42	-20	19	-39	16.1	14.9	1.23	12.4	14.9	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.55,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.69,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	92.1%
ATL 113, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.86,0.9,0.63,0.45,0.42,0	91.0%
SAC 91, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.69,0.79,0.45,0.42,0	90.9%