NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	9.5 [101]		MVP	Marques Bolden (CHA): +9.7%
Charlotte Hornets	86		Comeback	1.6 [542]		LVP	Scoot Henderson (POR): -26.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	22	55%	0.26	2	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Dalano Banton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	13	43%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Duop Reath	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashton Hagans	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jabari Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.24,-0.12,-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	0.07	17	36%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Scoot Henderson	-0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.26	0.00	-0.27	-0.00	16	65%	-0.01	6	-0.25	2	0%	-0.21

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marques Bolden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Leaky Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.03	5	82%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	39%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	55%	0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Grant Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.07,0,-0.1,0.08,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.00	20	49%	0.03	2	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	9	22%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.15	-0.02	11	42%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	28.4	14.4	25.2	1.6	32.2	125.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.8%

CHA -29.5%

POR +78.6%

CHA -32.6%

CHA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHA	NBA	POR	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	14.5	92.7	89.6	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		106.9	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.5		118.7	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	16.2	17.1	15.2	15.6
CHA	14.8	12.6	14.2	16.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	74	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	3	-3	16.1	14.1	1.92	14.2	15.2	-1.09
Scoot Henderson	73	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.52	0	3	-3	16.1	14.0	2.07	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Dalano Banton	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-2	7	15.4	16.0	-0.55	14.8	13.4	1.38
Rayan Rupert	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	2	-1	15.5	16.0	-0.48	14.5	14.0	0.53
Kris Murray	66	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-4	11	14.8	17.3	-2.45	14.5	14.0	0.51
Jabari Walker	82	83	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	3	-3	16.1	12.5	3.65	13.8	18.1	-4.27
Duop Reath	22	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	0	3	14.1	16.1	-1.92	15.2	14.2	1.09
Ashton Hagans	26	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.07	-1	4	-5	15.3	15.7	-0.47	14.9	14.2	0.71

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marques Bolden	29	29	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.21	2	-5	7	13.6	14.7	-1.15	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Leaky Black	30	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-8	13	15.5	13.9	1.62	15.5	15.7	-0.24
Bryce McGowens	35	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-3	3	15.3	13.9	1.46	15.5	15.7	-0.16
Nick Smith Jr.	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	5	-13	15.0	14.0	1.03	14.7	16.2	-1.52
JT Thor	55	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-6	9	14.8	13.8	1.06	15.9	15.2	0.65
Tre Mann	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-5	7	14.0	15.4	-1.42	15.9	14.8	1.05
Aleksej Pokusevski	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	3	-9	13.8	14.8	-1.06	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Brandon Miller	61	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	0	-3	13.9	15.3	-1.46	15.8	15.3	0.45
Davis Bertans	56	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	2	-7	13.9	15.1	-1.27	15.9	15.3	0.54
Grant Williams	67	67	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.62	-5	2	-7	14.7	13.6	1.15	15.7	15.4	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.01,0	92.1%
NOH 100, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.26,0	91.7%
CHI 102, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	91.4%