NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	6.0 [598]		MVP	Naz Reid (MIN): +19.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	2.8 [760]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (HOU): -5.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.02	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.05	0.06	20	54%	0.16	1	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Amen Thompson	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	43%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	14	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cam Whitmore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.03	11	58%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	22	54%	0.09	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Dillon Brooks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.06	-0.02	17	69%	0.24	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	7	82%	0.23	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.00	8	81%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.05	0.03	16	49%	0.09	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.05
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	44%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.3	24.5	14.7	29.3	1.8	36.1	130.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.6%

MIN +7.2%

MIN +1.6%

MIN +6.7%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	14.5	110.4	118.9	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		113.2	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.6		108.1	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	17.9	14.8	12.6	14.7
MIN	16.6	14.0	15.9	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	37	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-12	17	15.1	14.5	0.60	15.7	15.2	0.46
Aaron Holiday	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-4	1	16.3	14.5	1.73	16.3	15.3	0.96
Jeff Green	44	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-10	13	14.6	14.9	-0.27	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Reggie Bullock Jr.	4	3	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	16.7	14.7	2.10	6.7	15.7	-9.04
Fred VanVleet	81	81	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-9	11	14.5	16.3	-1.81	15.9	12.8	3.09
Dillon Brooks	58	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-5	3	14.2	15.6	-1.48	15.6	15.1	0.51
Cam Whitmore	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	15.4	14.1	1.25	15.8	15.1	0.68
Jalen Green	77	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-6	5	14.5	15.5	-0.98	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Amen Thompson	50	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	8	-23	15.1	14.3	0.75	15.3	15.6	-0.34
Jabari Smith Jr.	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	6	-19	14.6	15.1	-0.46	15.0	16.6	-1.57

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	55	57	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-6	19	15.0	16.0	-1.09	14.8	14.6	0.17
Jordan McLaughlin	35	35	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-10	27	15.0	15.6	-0.62	16.2	13.9	2.34
Naz Reid	65	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	2	3	16.4	13.2	3.20	15.1	14.0	1.08
Kyle Anderson	57	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	-1	9	15.7	14.9	0.79	15.6	13.4	2.24
Anthony Edwards	71	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	7	-7	15.0	16.5	-1.50	14.6	15.1	-0.51
Mike Conley	60	60	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	2	3	16.1	14.2	1.93	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	4	-1	14.0	16.4	-2.37	14.3	15.0	-0.68
Rudy Gobert	72	73	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.26	-8	15	-23	15.3	15.9	-0.65	13.9	17.3	-3.43
Monte Morris	20	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	15	-23	15.7	15.3	0.35	14.0	14.9	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.29,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.85,0.87,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
DET 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.99,1	93.6%