inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 94 Excitement4.4 [965] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +23.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder 104 Comeback2.0 [975] LVPTracy McGrady (DET): -10.1%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.030.02889%0.163-0.052100%0.00
Richard Hamilton0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.000.01-0.061853%0.123-0.05250%-0.01
Chris Wilcox0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00580%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Greg Monroe0.020,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.000.03964%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Charlie Villanueva0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.030.041450%-0.021-0.032100%0.01
Austin Daye-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01825%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.0110%-0.023-0.0700%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.02937%-0.042-0.06633%-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.160.06-0.021185%0.262-0.034100%0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.050.021365%0.1600.0011100%0.07
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.02-0.02771%0.1000.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.010.03967%0.051-0.01667%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.03550%0.052-0.0300%0.00
Cole Aldrich00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01440%-0.011-0.002100%0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.051441%0.023-0.05450%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.529.715.023.12.532.2129.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +31.6%
OKC +6.6%
DET -10.1%
OKC +20.8%
OKC +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETOKCNBADETOKCNBA
this game17.615.815.5109.3120.9105.7
season16.715.0106.4108.8
opponent15.615.2105.4110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.018.018.716.817.6
OKC16.514.716.415.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Villanueva1919-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-6216.617.9-1.3616.915.61.34
Jason Maxiell1919-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-6216.617.9-1.3616.915.61.34
Chris Wilcox2828-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-7417.617.7-0.0516.515.50.97
Ben Gordon2525-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-5017.117.9-0.7316.615.51.06
Austin Daye3637-0.23-0.270.050.07-100-1016.918.2-1.3415.416.2-0.83
Tracy McGrady5049-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.270-101018.216.91.3416.215.40.83
Richard Hamilton6161-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.20-5-5017.917.10.7315.516.6-1.06
Rodney Stuckey5858-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.19-7-3-417.717.60.0515.516.5-0.97
Tayshaun Prince6767-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.24-6-4-217.916.61.3615.616.9-1.34
Greg Monroe6767-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.24-6-4-217.916.61.3615.616.9-1.34

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook58600.52-0.020.540.2011-11215.716.2-0.5918.216.31.85
Kevin Durant71710.50-0.000.500.1213-31615.716.6-0.9117.518.2-0.68
James Harden57570.430.070.360.1111-11215.416.7-1.2717.517.9-0.39
Thabo Sefolosha55570.400.100.290.3137-415.815.9-0.0318.216.61.64
Nick Collison46460.340.160.190.0891815.516.3-0.8418.217.01.24
Daequan Cook27260.180.32-0.15-0.0373415.815.9-0.1017.917.50.41
Serge Ibaka53530.150.35-0.200.15010-1016.415.01.3817.118.5-1.32
Nazr Mohammed28280.090.41-0.320.0619-816.715.41.3417.817.60.22
Eric Maynor2826-0.020.52-0.540.01-111-1216.215.70.5916.318.2-1.85
Cole Aldrich76-0.090.59-0.680.03-414-1816.315.80.4813.218.0-4.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 95, MIN 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
PHI 84, DET 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
NOP 89, DAL 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%