inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 89 Excitement4.4 [949] MVPVince Carter (DAL): +12.3%
Dallas Mavericks 108 Comeback2.1 [875] LVPTyreke Evans (NOP): -11.4%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alexis Ajinca0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.011064%0.091-0.002100%0.01
Brian Roberts0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.000.06985%0.112-0.062100%0.01
Luke Babbitt0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.000.02683%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Darius Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.000.033100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Greg Stiemsma0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Gordon-0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.011173%0.135-0.14450%-0.02
Jeff Withey-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Davis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00933%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.04621%-0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.02440%-0.022-0.0520%-0.04
Austin Rivers-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00443%-0.012-0.06617%-0.08
Tyreke Evans-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01921%-0.081-0.0310%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.01-0.02977%0.172-0.044100%0.02
Jose Calderon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.01764%0.0900.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.021362%0.091-0.023100%0.01
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.02480%0.0500.002100%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.000.076100%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.01956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.021855%0.082-0.066100%0.03
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02475%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Bernard James00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01250%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.020.00719%-0.091-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.831.016.528.43.430.4137.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +7.2%
DAL +15.8%
NOP -6.4%
DAL +32.3%
DAL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDALNBANOPDALNBA
this game16.215.215.196.7117.4105.2
season15.515.3105.6109.0
opponent15.015.3107.0108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP14.717.916.116.016.2
DAL16.615.612.716.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Davis24230.10-0.600.70-0.024-232715.816.3-0.4316.414.71.65
Greg Stiemsma2828-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-191916.016.2-0.1716.114.71.42
Darius Miller2021-0.19-0.310.120.22-14-5-916.016.2-0.1914.615.3-0.69
Luke Babbitt5051-0.20-0.300.100.24-15-4-1116.116.2-0.1614.316.2-1.97
Austin Rivers3233-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-10116.516.00.4914.615.5-0.85
Brian Roberts5655-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-181715.816.7-0.8915.514.60.98
Al-Farouq Aminu3133-0.25-0.250.01-0.19-2-171516.416.00.4017.014.12.93
Jeff Withey1516-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.10-6-13715.616.3-0.6612.215.8-3.51
Eric Gordon6764-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.07-7-12516.315.80.5415.215.00.22
Anthony Morrow3336-0.30-0.20-0.090.14-15-4-1116.715.80.9014.915.3-0.43
Tyreke Evans5552-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-6-715.616.9-1.2814.915.5-0.66
Alexis Ajinca4948-0.31-0.19-0.120.19-17-2-1516.715.51.1615.215.10.03

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandan Wright48490.470.030.44-0.2023-42713.816.6-2.8016.116.3-0.19
Dirk Nowitzki52490.420.080.34-0.051631315.914.11.8216.316.00.24
Monta Ellis65660.390.110.28-0.051541115.115.3-0.2016.415.60.75
Vince Carter42450.280.220.05-0.02109114.315.9-1.6415.716.6-0.95
Jose Calderon49510.280.220.05-0.08127515.714.61.1216.316.00.36
Shawn Marion60620.220.28-0.050.08514-915.015.4-0.4416.116.2-0.02
Wayne Ellington43410.200.30-0.09-0.12118315.115.2-0.1515.916.4-0.45
Devin Harris44430.180.32-0.130.04514-914.715.5-0.8115.516.8-1.29
Samuel Dalembert40400.150.35-0.190.09217-1516.014.51.5416.116.2-0.00
Bernard James430.000.50-0.500.00019-1918.515.03.5022.315.96.39
Jae Crowder430.000.50-0.500.00019-1918.515.03.5022.315.96.39
Shane Larkin430.000.50-0.500.00019-1918.515.03.5022.315.96.39
DeJuan Blair67-0.140.64-0.780.03-625-3115.515.10.3710.716.6-5.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 73, LAC 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.7%
DET 94, OKC 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.4%
PHI 84, DET 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%